Chelsea 1-2 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 63% – 37%
- Shots 14 (3 on target) – 11 (8)
- Decisive moment: 84' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.6
João Pedro 37'
HT 1:0
Ollie Watkins 63'
Ollie Watkins 84'
Ollie Watkins 84'
Chelsea 5th · 29 pts|Aston Villa 3rd · 39 pts
Chelsea edged xG (2.14–1.19) but Aston Villa took the win.
Player of the matchReece JamesDecisive moment84' Ollie Watkins+1.6
Player of the match
Reece James Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 26 min · level 58 min · Aston Villa ahead 6 min
- Ollie Watkins — off the bench 32 min · 2G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
37'
João Pedro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Reece James +0.2
+0.8
63'
Ollie Watkins
Goal
+0.7
84'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.5
+1.6
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaAston Villa
63%Possession37%
2.14Expected goals (xG)1.19
0.15xG per shot0.11
14Shots11
3Shots on target8
21%Shots on target %73%
8Shots in box7
528Passes321
89%Pass accuracy80%
6Corners7
6Saves2
16Fouls8
5Yellow cards3
0Offsides0
Compared with usual
Chelsea
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.14 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 14 | 14 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 10.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 63% | 58.2% | |
| Passes | 528 | 524.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 86.5% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 12.2 |
Aston Villa
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.96 | |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.14 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.9 | |
| On target | 8 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 37% | 54.3% | low |
| Passes | 321 | 456.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 85% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.1 |
Timeline
- 30' Yellow Matty Cash
- 37' Goal João Pedro league goal #6 assist Reece James
- 57' Yellow Reece James
- 57' Yellow Morgan Rogers
- 58' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Ollie Watkins
- 59' Sub John McGinn → Amadou Onana
- 59' Sub Donyell Malen → Jadon Sancho
- 63' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #4
- 68' Yellow Trevoh Chalobah
- 69' Sub Marc Cucurella → Malo Gusto
- 69' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Jamie Gittens
- 69' Sub João Pedro → Liam Delap
- 71' Yellow Liam Delap
- 71' Yellow Moisés Caicedo
- 72' Sub Cole Palmer → Estêvão
- 78' Yellow Boubacar Kamara
- 83' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Lamare Bogarde
- 83' Sub Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
- 84' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #5 assist Youri Tielemans
- 90+4' Yellow Enzo Fernández
Category leaders
- Key passesReece James3
- Duels wonReece James7/7
- DribblesJamie Gittens2/2
- Defensive actionsReece James9
- ShotsOllie Watkins4 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonEnzo Fernández3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.