Premier League · Matchweek 19
Josh Laurent 23'
HT 1:2
Joelinton 2'
Yoane Wissa 7'
Bruno Guimarães 90'
Tue, 30 Dec 2025, 19:30 (UK) · Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley 19th · 12 pts|Newcastle 14th → 9th · 26 pts

Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.09–2.31).

Player of the matchBruno Guimarães8.8Decisive moment2' Joelinton+0.6

Burnley 1-3 Newcastle

Key numbers

  • Possession 48% – 52%
  • Shots 15 (4 on target) – 20 (9)
  • Decisive moment: 2' Joelinton, FN xPts +0.6
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-21-3
Burnley ahead 0 min · level 2 min · Newcastle ahead 88 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

2' Joelinton Goal +0.6
7' Yoane Wissa Goal +0.4
23' Josh Laurent Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Armando Broja +0.1 +0.3
90' Bruno Guimarães Goal +0.1
Burnley Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BurnleyNewcastle
48%Possession52%
1.09Expected goals (xG)2.31
0.07xG per shot0.12
15Shots20
4Shots on target9
27%Shots on target %45%
8Shots in box13
439Passes467
79%Pass accuracy83%
3Corners4
4Saves2
9Fouls3
2Yellow cards1
1Offsides2

Compared with usual

Burnley

20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.1
Conceded31.9
xG1.090.82
xG against2.311.8
Shots159.4
On target43.4
Shots faced2014.8
xG per shot0.070.1
Possession48%42.3%
Passes439385.3
Pass accuracy79%76.8%
Corners33.8
Fouls99.8

Newcastle

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.6
Conceded11.1
xG2.311.4
xG against1.090.99
Shots2013.2
On target95.1
Shots faced1511.2
xG per shot0.120.11
Possession52%52.5%
Passes467455.8
Pass accuracy83%82.5%
Corners46.3
Fouls39.6

Timeline

  • 2' Goal Joelinton league goal #1
  • 7' Goal Yoane Wissa league goal #1
  • 15' Sub Maxime Estève → Bashir Humphreys
  • 23' Goal Josh Laurent league goal #1 assist Armando Broja
  • 28' Yellow Kyle Walker
  • 28' Yellow Joelinton
  • 32' Yellow Florentino Luís
  • 72' Sub Harvey Barnes → Jacob Murphy
  • 74' Sub Loum Tchaouna → Jacob Bruun Larsen
  • 80' Sub Anthony Gordon → Jacob Ramsey
  • 80' Sub Yoane Wissa → Nick Woltemade
  • 88' Sub Florentino Luís → Mike Trésor
  • 88' Sub Lesley Ugochukwu → Ashley Barnes
  • 90' Goal Bruno Guimarães league goal #6
  • 90+4' Sub Joelinton → Joe Willock

Category leaders

  • Key passesLucas Pires4
  • Duels wonJoelinton10/16
  • DribblesAnthony Gordon3/7
  • Defensive actionsKyle Walker8
  • ShotsMarcus Edwards4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonArmando Broja3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.