Nottingham Forest 0-2 Everton
Key numbers
- Possession 70% – 30%
- Shots 21 (6 on target) – 11 (3)
- Decisive moment: 19' James Garner, FN xPts +1.0
HT 0:1
James Garner 19'
Thierno Barry 79'
Thierno Barry 79'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 18 pts|Everton 12th → 8th · 28 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.55–1.26) but Everton took the win.
Player of the matchJames GarnerDecisive moment19' James Garner+1.0
Player of the match
James Garner Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 19 min · Everton ahead 71 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
19'
James Garner
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Dwight McNeil +0.3
+1.0
79'
Thierno Barry
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist James Garner +0.1
+0.3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Everton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestEverton
70%Possession30%
1.55Expected goals (xG)1.26
0.07xG per shot0.11
21Shots11
6Shots on target3
29%Shots on target %27%
12Shots in box7
665Passes301
90%Pass accuracy74%
9Corners2
1Saves6
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
25 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.55 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.26 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 21 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 70% | 51.5% | high |
| Passes | 665 | 456.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 83.1% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.6 |
Everton
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.26 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.55 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 12.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 30% | 44.8% | |
| Passes | 301 | 394.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 79.5% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.1 |
Timeline
- 19' Goal James Garner league goal #2 assist Dwight McNeil
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Douglas Luiz
- 61' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 62' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 72' Sub Nathan Patterson → Jack Grealish
- 75' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Dilane Bakwa
- 79' Goal Thierno Barry league goal #2 assist James Garner
- 85' Sub Thierno Barry → Beto
Category leaders
- Key passesNeco Williams4
- Duels wonElliot Anderson10/18
- DribblesOmari Hutchinson5/7
- Defensive actionsNikola Milenković7
- ShotsJames Garner4 (on target 1)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.