West Ham 1-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 47% – 53%
- Shots 14 (3 on target) – 13 (5)
- Decisive moment: 89' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +1.6
Murillo 13' (OG)
HT 1:0
Nicolás Domínguez 55'
Morgan Gibbs-White 89' (pen)
Morgan Gibbs-White 89' (pen)
West Ham 18th · 14 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 21 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.95–1.38).
Player of the matchNicolás DomínguezDecisive moment89' Morgan Gibbs-White+1.6
Player of the match
Nicolás Domínguez Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
West Ham ahead 42 min · level 47 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 1 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
13'
Murillo
Own goal
−0.7
55'
Nicolás Domínguez
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Elliot Anderson +0.3
+0.9
89'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Pen goal
+1.6
West Ham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.8Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
West HamNottingham Forest
47%Possession53%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.38
0.07xG per shot0.11
14Shots13
3Shots on target5
21%Shots on target %38%
11Shots in box7
379Passes418
77%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners5
3Saves3
15Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
West Ham
21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 0.95 | 0.98 | |
| xG against | 1.38 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 14 | 9.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 15.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 47% | 43.4% | |
| Passes | 379 | 384.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 79% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.6 |
Nottingham Forest
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.38 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.95 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 53% | 51.3% | |
| Passes | 418 | 456.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.9% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 13' Goal Murillo (OG)
- 46' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Dilane Bakwa
- 52' VAR Crysencio Summerville
- 55' Goal Nicolás Domínguez league goal #1 assist Elliot Anderson
- 61' Yellow Jean-Clair Todibo
- 63' Sub Oliver Scarles → Ezra Mayers
- 63' Sub Lucas Paquetá → Pablo Felipe
- 80' Sub Mateus Fernandes → Freddie Potts
- 86' VAR Morgan Gibbs-White
- 89' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White (pen) league goal #5
- 90+2' Sub → Morato
- 90+4' Yellow Kyle Walker-Peters
- 90+6' Yellow Konstantinos Mavropanos
Category leaders
- Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi3
- Duels wonTomáš Souček13/18
- Defensive actionsOliver Scarles7
- ShotsNicolás Domínguez3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNeco Williams6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.