Premier League · Matchweek 21
Harvey Barnes 36'
Joelinton 54'
Bruno Guimarães 90' (pen)
Harvey Barnes 90'
HT 1:2
Brenden Aaronson 32'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45' (pen)
Brenden Aaronson 79'
Wed, 7 Jan 2026, 20:15 (UK) · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle 10th → 6th · 32 pts|Leeds 16th · 22 pts

Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.44–1.89).

Player of the matchBruno Guimarães8.7Decisive moment90' Harvey Barnes+1.3

Newcastle 4-3 Leeds

Key numbers

  • Possession 63% – 37%
  • Shots 18 (8 on target) – 14 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Harvey Barnes, FN xPts +1.3
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães 8.7Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-11-22-22-33-34-3
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 66 min · Leeds ahead 24 min
  • Sven Botman — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

32' Brenden Aaronson Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Dominic Calvert-Lewin +0.2 +0.7
36' Harvey Barnes Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nick Woltemade +0.2 +0.8
45' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Pen goal +0.8
54' Joelinton Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Bruno Guimarães +0.3 +0.9
79' Brenden Aaronson Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Ilia Gruev +0.4 +1.2
90' Bruno Guimarães Pen goal +1.1
90' Harvey Barnes Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Sven Botman +0.4 +1.3
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +4.1Opponent moments −2.5Time effect −0.8→ League points won 3
Leeds Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +2.7Opponent moments −3.9Time effect +0.6→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

NewcastleLeeds
63%Possession37%
2.44Expected goals (xG)1.89
0.14xG per shot0.13
18Shots14
8Shots on target6
44%Shots on target %43%
15Shots in box12
545Passes334
86%Pass accuracy77%
8Corners4
3Saves3
11Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
1Offsides0

Compared with usual

Newcastle

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals41.7
Conceded31.1
xG2.441.5
xG against1.890.99
Shots1813.4
On target85.3
Shots faced1411.3
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession63%52.7%
Passes545457.5
Pass accuracy86%82.6%
Corners86.2
Fouls119.2

Leeds

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.3
Conceded41.6
xG1.891.4
xG against2.441.4
Shots1413.3
On target64.1
Shots faced1811.5
xG per shot0.130.1
Possession37%47.7%
Passes334419
Pass accuracy77%80%
Corners44.7
Fouls1010

Timeline

  • 7' Yellow Malick Thiaw
  • 22' Yellow Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 32' Goal Brenden Aaronson league goal #3 assist Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 36' Goal Harvey Barnes league goal #4 assist Nick Woltemade
  • 45' Goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin (pen) league goal #9
  • 45+3' Yellow Anthony Gordon
  • 45+6' Yellow Joelinton
  • 46' Sub Malick Thiaw → Sven Botman
  • 46' Sub Sandro Tonali → Valentino Livramento
  • 54' Goal Joelinton league goal #2 assist Bruno Guimarães
  • 75' Sub Nick Woltemade → Yoane Wissa
  • 76' Sub Fabian Schär → Jacob Ramsey
  • 79' Goal Brenden Aaronson league goal #4 assist Ilia Gruev
  • 80' Sub Anton Stach → Noah Okafor
  • 81' Sub Anthony Gordon → Jacob Murphy
  • 87' Sub Dominic Calvert-Lewin → Lukas Nmecha
  • 90' Goal Bruno Guimarães (pen) league goal #8
  • 90' Goal Harvey Barnes league goal #5 assist Sven Botman
  • 90+7' Sub Joe Rodon → Sebastiaan Bornauw
  • 90+7' Sub Ilia Gruev → Ao Tanaka
  • 90+7' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Wilfried Gnonto
  • 90+10' Yellow Ethan Ampadu

Category leaders

  • Key passesBruno Guimarães5
  • Duels wonJoelinton11/20
  • DribblesBrenden Aaronson3/3
  • Defensive actionsLewis Miley8
  • ShotsHarvey Barnes3 (on target 3)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.