Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Vincenzo Grifo 53' (pen)
Igor Matanović 83'
HT 0:0
Luka Vušković 48'
Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 14:30 (UK) · Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
SC Freiburg · 23 pts|Hamburger SV · 16 pts

SC Freiburg won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.85–0.66).

Player of the matchNoah Atubolu7.3Decisive moment83' Igor Matanović+1.1

SC Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV

Key numbers

  • Possession 60% – 40%
  • Shots 20 (7 on target) – 10 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 83' Igor Matanović, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Noah Atubolu 7.3Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.3 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-12-1
SC Freiburg ahead 7 min · level 78 min · Hamburger SV ahead 5 min
  • Hamburger SV: Red card 51' → ~39 min a player down
  • Igor Matanović — off the bench 25 min · 1G 0A
  • Jan-Niklas Beste — off the bench 11 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

48' Luka Vušković Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Miro Muheim +0.3 +0.9
51' Daniel Elfadli Red card −0.4
53' Vincenzo Grifo Pen goal +0.9
83' Igor Matanović Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Jan-Niklas Beste +0.3 +1.1
SC Freiburg Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Hamburger SV Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

SC FreiburgHamburger SV
60%Possession40%
2.85Expected goals (xG)0.66
0.14xG per shot0.07
20Shots10
7Shots on target5
35%Shots on target %50%
14Shots in box5
514Passes341
83%Pass accuracy76%
0Corners3
5Saves5
13Fouls11
3Yellow cards5
1Offsides0

Compared with usual

SC Freiburg

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.7
Conceded11.3
xG2.851.5
xG against0.661.1
Shots2014.1
On target74.7
Shots faced1012
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession60%51.4%
Passes514436.8
Pass accuracy83%81.1%
Corners04.8
Fouls139.5

Hamburger SV

last 17 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11
Conceded21.5
xG0.661.1
xG against2.851.3
Shots1013.6
On target54.9
Shots faced2013.8
xG per shot0.070.08
Possession40%47.7%
Passes341418.9
Pass accuracy76%81.9%
Corners34.1
Fouls1112.3

Timeline

  • 4' Yellow Daniel Elfadli
  • 39' Yellow Philipp Treu
  • 43' Yellow Philipp Lienhart
  • 46' Sub Philipp Lienhart → Anthony Jung
  • 48' Goal Luka Vušković league goal #3 assist Miro Muheim
  • 51' Second yellow Daniel Elfadli
  • 53' Goal Vincenzo Grifo (pen) league goal #6
  • 57' Sub Jean-Luc Dompé → Jordan Torunarigha
  • 63' Yellow Luka Vušković
  • 65' Sub Vincenzo Grifo → Patrick Osterhage
  • 65' Sub Lucas Höler → Igor Matanović
  • 77' Yellow Daniel Heuer Fernandes
  • 78' Sub Bakery Jatta → Giorgi Gocholeishvili
  • 78' Sub Damion Downs → Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
  • 79' Sub Philipp Treu → Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 79' Sub Fábio Vieira → Guilherme Ramos
  • 83' Goal Igor Matanović league goal #3 assist Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 90+2' Sub Albert Sambi Lokonga → Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 90+4' Sub Johan Manzambi → Nicolas Höfler
  • 90+7' Yellow Patrick Osterhage
  • 90+12' Yellow Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit

Category leaders

  • Key passesChristian Günter4
  • Duels wonNicolás Capaldo8/9
  • DribblesMiro Muheim2/2
  • Defensive actionsNicolás Capaldo7
  • ShotsYuito Suzuki4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonNicolai Remberg4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.