Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Woo-Yeong Jeong 77'
Marin Ljubičić 86'
HT 0:1
Nadiem Amiri 30'
Benedict Hollerbach 69'
Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 14:30 (UK) · Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin · 22 pts|FSV Mainz 05 · 9 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 3.35–1.01.

Player of the matchDerrick Köhn8.4Decisive moment86' Marin Ljubičić+1.0

Union Berlin 2-2 FSV Mainz 05

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 17 (5 on target) – 9 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 86' Marin Ljubičić, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Derrick Köhn 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-22-2
Union Berlin ahead 0 min · level 34 min · FSV Mainz 05 ahead 56 min
  • Woo-Yeong Jeong — off the bench 20 min · 1G 0A
  • Marin Ljubičić — off the bench 12 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

30' Nadiem Amiri Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jae-sung Lee +0.2 +0.8
69' Benedict Hollerbach Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Nikolas Veratschnig +0.1 +0.4
77' Woo-Yeong Jeong Goal · assist Derrick Köhn +0.2
86' Marin Ljubičić Goal +1.0
Union Berlin Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
FSV Mainz 05 Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Union BerlinFSV Mainz 05
57%Possession43%
3.35Expected goals (xG)1.01
0.2xG per shot0.11
17Shots9
5Shots on target6
29%Shots on target %67%
14Shots in box8
481Passes374
73%Pass accuracy66%
2Corners1
4Saves3
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Offsides1

Compared with usual

Union Berlin

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded21.5
xG3.350.98high
xG against1.011.1
Shots1713.6
On target54.5
Shots faced913.2
xG per shot0.20.08high
Possession57%38%
Passes481323.2
Pass accuracy73%70.7%
Corners25.4
Fouls913.5

FSV Mainz 05

17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.82
Conceded21.6
xG1.011
xG against3.351.7
Shots910.8
On target62.6
Shots faced1715.4
xG per shot0.110.09
Possession43%46.4%
Passes374385.5
Pass accuracy66%73.9%
Corners14.8
Fouls812.5

Timeline

  • 19' Yellow Diogo Leite
  • 30' Goal Nadiem Amiri league goal #4 assist Jae-sung Lee
  • 57' Yellow Danilho Doekhi
  • 65' Sub Aljoscha Kemlein → András Schäfer
  • 65' Sub Livan Burcu → Ilyas Ansah
  • 69' Goal Benedict Hollerbach league goal #1 assist Nikolas Veratschnig
  • 70' Sub Janik Haberer → Christopher Trimmel
  • 70' Sub Oliver Burke → Woo-Yeong Jeong
  • 77' Goal Woo-Yeong Jeong league goal #1 assist Derrick Köhn
  • 78' Sub Diogo Leite → Marin Ljubičić
  • 78' Sub Nadiem Amiri → Paul Nebel
  • 78' Sub Benedict Hollerbach → Armindo Sieb
  • 85' Sub Phillip Tietz → Lennard Maloney
  • 86' Goal Marin Ljubičić league goal #1

Category leaders

  • Key passesDerrick Köhn5
  • Duels wonStefan Bell13/20
  • DribblesLivan Burcu2/3
  • Defensive actionsDanny da Costa7
  • ShotsOliver Burke5 (on target 2)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.