Wrexham 3-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 38% – 62%
- Shots 17 (7 on target) – 31 (10)
- Decisive moment: 89' Callum Hudson-Odoi, FN xPts +1.0
Liberato Cacace 37'
Oliver Rathbone 40'
Dominic Hyam 74'
Oliver Rathbone 40'
Dominic Hyam 74'
HT 2:0 · PK 4:3
Igor Jesus 64'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 76'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 89'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 76'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 89'
3-3 draw, with xG at 2.2–3.71.
Player of the matchNicolò SavonaDecisive moment89' Callum Hudson-Odoi+1.0
Player of the match
Nicolò Savona Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Wrexham ahead 52 min · level 68 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
- Callum Hudson-Odoi — off the bench 51 min · 2G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
37'
Liberato Cacace
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist George Dobson +0.2
+0.7
40'
Oliver Rathbone
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Nathan Broadhead +0.2
+0.7
64'
Igor Jesus
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Nicolò Savona +0.2
+0.6
74'
Dominic Hyam
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist George Dobson +0.2
+0.7
76'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal
+0.6
89'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Nicolò Savona +0.3
+1.0
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for Wrexham is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
WrexhamNottingham Forest
38%Possession62%
2.2Expected goals (xG)3.71
0.13xG per shot0.12
17Shots31
7Shots on target10
41%Shots on target %32%
12Shots in box20
449Passes742
77%Pass accuracy87%
8Corners7
7Saves4
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
28 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 3.71 | 1.4 | high |
| xG against | 2.2 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 31 | 13.3 | high |
| On target | 10 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 62% | 51.3% | |
| Passes | 742 | 454.9 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 82.9% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.8 |
Timeline
- 37' Goal Liberato Cacace competition goal #1 assist George Dobson
- 40' Goal Oliver Rathbone competition goal #1 assist Nathan Broadhead
- 46' Sub Oleksandr Zinchenko → Neco Williams
- 46' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Morgan Gibbs-White
- 46' Sub James McAtee → Nicolás Domínguez
- 60' Sub Liberato Cacace → George Thomason
- 64' Goal Igor Jesus competition goal #1 assist Nicolò Savona
- 69' Sub Nathan Broadhead → Josh Windass
- 69' Sub Oliver Rathbone → Lewis O'Brien
- 69' Sub Dan Ndoye → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 74' Goal Dominic Hyam competition goal #1 assist George Dobson
- 76' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi competition goal #1
- 87' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 87' Yellow Omari Hutchinson
- 88' Sub Ben Sheaf → James McClean
- 88' Sub Douglas Luiz → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 89' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi competition goal #2 assist Nicolò Savona
- 91' Sub Ryan Longman → Ryan Barnett
- 97' Sub Nicolò Savona → Murillo
- 100' Sub Sam Smith → Jay Rodriguez
- 112' Yellow Morato
- 112' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 120' Yellow Josh Windass
Category leaders
- Key passesGeorge Dobson4
- Duels wonCallum Doyle14/23
- DribblesNathan Broadhead5/6
- Defensive actionsCallum Doyle12
- ShotsIgor Jesus4 (on target 2)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.