Serie A · Matchweek 20
1:2
Nikola Štulić 1'
HT 1:0
Tiago Gabriel 64' (OG)
Mateo Pellegrino 72'
Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 11:30 (UK) · Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Lecce 16th · 17 pts|Parma 15th → 14th · 21 pts

Parma won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.85–1.04).

Player of the matchAdrián Bernabé7.9Decisive moment72' Mateo Pellegrino+1.3

Lecce 1-2 Parma

Key numbers

  • Possession 41% – 59%
  • Shots 10 (1 on target) – 12 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 72' Mateo Pellegrino, FN xPts +1.3
Player of the match
Adrián Bernabé 7.9Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-11-2
Lecce ahead 63 min · level 9 min · Parma ahead 18 min
  • Lecce: Red card 57' → ~33 min a player down

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

1' Nikola Štulić Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Lameck Banda +0.2 +0.8
57' Lameck Banda Red card −0.3
64' Tiago Gabriel Own goal −1.3
72' Mateo Pellegrino Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Adrián Bernabé +0.4 +1.3
90+2' Kialonda Gaspar Red card 0.0
Lecce Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments −0.8Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.6→ League points won 0
Parma Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.3Opponent moments +0.5Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

LecceParma
41%Possession59%
0.85Expected goals (xG)1.04
0.09xG per shot0.09
10Shots12
1Shots on target2
10%Shots on target %17%
6Shots in box6
284Passes412
75%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners3
1Saves0
16Fouls17
3Yellow cards1
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Lecce

20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.7
Conceded21.4
xG0.850.73
xG against1.041.2
Shots109.3
On target12.6
Shots faced1213.2
xG per shot0.090.07
Possession41%42.8%
Passes284335.7
Pass accuracy75%75.8%
Corners34.8
Fouls1611.9

Parma

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.81
Conceded11.2
xG1.040.83
xG against0.851.1
Shots1211.5
On target23.4
Shots faced1014.1
xG per shot0.090.07
Possession59%42.3%
Passes412344.5
Pass accuracy84%77.2%
Corners33.4
Fouls1710.9

Timeline

  • 1' Goal Nikola Štulić league goal #2 assist Lameck Banda
  • 23' Yellow Santiago Pierotti
  • 54' Sub Santiago Pierotti → Konan N'Dri
  • 55' Yellow Ylber Ramadani
  • 56' VAR Lameck Banda
  • 57' Red Lameck Banda
  • 62' Yellow Mohamed Kaba
  • 63' Sub Mandela Keita → Nahuel Estévez
  • 64' Goal Tiago Gabriel (OG)
  • 65' Sub Nikola Štulić → Antonino Gallo
  • 69' Yellow Enrico Del Prato
  • 72' Goal Mateo Pellegrino league goal #6 assist Adrián Bernabé
  • 77' Sub Corrie Ndaba → Riccardo Sottil
  • 78' Sub Youssef Maleh → Omri Gandelman
  • 78' Sub Ylber Ramadani → Lassana Coulibaly
  • 80' Sub Jacob Ondrejka → Adrian Benedyczak
  • 80' Sub Adrián Bernabé → Christian Ordoñez
  • 84' Sub Gaetano Oristanio → Sascha Britschgi
  • 90+2' Red Kialonda Gaspar

Category leaders

  • Key passesAdrián Bernabé4
  • Duels wonEmanuele Valeri10/17
  • DribblesEmanuele Valeri3/7
  • Defensive actionsLameck Banda5
  • Fouls wonTiago Gabriel3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.