FA Cup · Round of 64
Wilson Odobert 54'
HT 0:2
Emiliano Buendía 22'
Morgan Rogers 45'
Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 17:45 (UK) · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.18–1.45).

Player of the matchMorgan Rogers8.5Decisive moment22' Emiliano Buendía+0.8

Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 40% – 60%
  • Shots 13 (5 on target) – 17 (8)
  • Decisive moment: 22' Emiliano Buendía, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Morgan Rogers 8.5Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-2
Tottenham ahead 0 min · level 22 min · Aston Villa ahead 68 min
  • Randal Kolo Muani — off the bench 59 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

22' Emiliano Buendía Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Donyell Malen +0.2 +0.8
45' Morgan Rogers Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Emiliano Buendía +0.2 +0.6
54' Wilson Odobert Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Randal Kolo Muani +0.1 +0.4

Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

TottenhamAston Villa
40%Possession60%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.45
0.09xG per shot0.09
13Shots17
5Shots on target8
38%Shots on target %47%
9Shots in box8
330Passes521
78%Pass accuracy85%
4Corners6
5Saves4
17Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
3Offsides1

Compared with usual

Tottenham

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded21.2
xG1.181.1
xG against1.451.2
Shots1310.8
On target53.8
Shots faced1712.1
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession40%51%
Passes330415.3
Pass accuracy78%81.5%
Corners45.1
Fouls1710.7

Aston Villa

28 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded11
xG1.451.3
xG against1.181.3
Shots1711.9
On target84.6
Shots faced1312.4
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession60%54.5%
Passes521459.7
Pass accuracy85%85.2%
Corners65
Fouls109.8

Timeline

  • 9' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Youri Tielemans
  • 22' Goal Emiliano Buendía competition goal #1 assist Donyell Malen
  • 31' Sub Richarlison → Randal Kolo Muani
  • 45' Goal Morgan Rogers competition goal #1 assist Emiliano Buendía
  • 54' Goal Wilson Odobert competition goal #1 assist Randal Kolo Muani
  • 57' Yellow Archie Gray
  • 65' Sub Donyell Malen → Ollie Watkins
  • 65' Sub John McGinn → Jadon Sancho
  • 67' Yellow Emiliano Buendía
  • 78' Sub Mathys Tel → Dane Scarlett
  • 78' Sub Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
  • 79' Yellow Pedro Porro
  • 79' Sub Matty Cash → Andrés García
  • 81' Yellow Andrés García
  • 83' Sub Wilson Odobert → Dominic Solanke
  • 83' Sub Pedro Porro → Djed Spence
  • 85' Yellow João Palhinha

Category leaders

  • Key passesMathys Tel4
  • Duels wonJoão Palhinha13/22
  • DribblesJoão Palhinha2/3
  • Defensive actionsJoão Palhinha12
  • ShotsEmiliano Buendía4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonXavi Simons3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.