Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Linton Maina 41'
HT 1:1
Serge Gnabry 45'
Min-jae Kim 71'
Lennart Karl 84'
Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 19:30 (UK) · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
1. FC Köln · 17 pts|Bayern München · 47 pts

Bayern München won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.72–1.5).

Player of the matchLuis Díaz8.5Decisive moment71' Min-jae Kim+1.0

1. FC Köln 1-3 Bayern München

Key numbers

  • Possession 28% – 72%
  • Shots 8 (3 on target) – 19 (8)
  • Decisive moment: 71' Min-jae Kim, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Luis Díaz 8.5Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-21-3
1. FC Köln ahead 4 min · level 67 min · Bayern München ahead 19 min
  • Lennart Karl — off the bench 23 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

41' Linton Maina Goal +0.7
45' Serge Gnabry Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Michael Olise +0.2 +0.8
71' Min-jae Kim Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Hiroki Itō +0.3 +1.0
84' Lennart Karl Goal · assist Luis Díaz +0.2
1. FC Köln Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

1. FC KölnBayern München
28%Possession72%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.5
0.09xG per shot0.08
8Shots19
3Shots on target8
38%Shots on target %42%
5Shots in box14
248Passes680
70%Pass accuracy89%
4Corners6
5Saves2
3Fouls4
0Yellow cards0
3Offsides5

Compared with usual

1. FC Köln

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded31.7
xG0.721.3
xG against1.51.4
Shots813.3
On target34.7
Shots faced1913.8
xG per shot0.090.09
Possession28%49.1%low
Passes248432.3low
Pass accuracy70%81.4%low
Corners44.4
Fouls39low

Bayern München

25 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals33.6
Conceded10.96
xG1.52.5
xG against0.720.74
Shots1918.6
On target88.7
Shots faced89.5
xG per shot0.080.13
Possession72%65%
Passes680679.6
Pass accuracy89%88.7%
Corners65.4
Fouls410low

Timeline

  • 41' Goal Linton Maina league goal #1
  • 45' Goal Serge Gnabry league goal #5 assist Michael Olise
  • 67' Sub Linton Maina → Fynn Schenten
  • 67' Sub Jonathan Tah → Dayot Upamecano
  • 67' Sub Serge Gnabry → Lennart Karl
  • 71' Goal Min-jae Kim league goal #1 assist Hiroki Itō
  • 78' Sub Kristoffer Lund → Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 78' Sub Ragnar Ache → Marius Bülter
  • 78' Sub Said El Mala → Luca Waldschmidt
  • 82' Sub Michael Olise → Tom Bischof
  • 84' Goal Lennart Karl league goal #4 assist Luis Díaz
  • 85' Sub Jan Thielmann → Youssoupha Niang
  • 88' Sub Hiroki Itō → Raphaël Guerreiro

Category leaders

  • Key passesLuis Díaz4
  • Duels wonRagnar Ache13/23
  • DribblesLuis Díaz5/7
  • Defensive actionsTom Krauß10
  • ShotsLeon Goretzka3 (on target 0)
  • Fouls wonTom Krauß3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.