Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Christian Eriksen 25' (pen)
Dženan Pejčinović 88'
HT 1:1
Eric Smith 40'
Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 17:30 (UK) · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg · 18 pts|FC St. Pauli · 12 pts

VfL Wolfsburg won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.88–0.89).

Player of the matchEric Smith7.6Decisive moment88' Dženan Pejčinović+1.7

VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 13 (5 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 88' Dženan Pejčinović, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Eric Smith 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-12-1
VfL Wolfsburg ahead 17 min · level 73 min · FC St. Pauli ahead 0 min
  • Adam Daghim — off the bench 17 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

25' Christian Eriksen Pen goal +0.8
40' Eric Smith Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Adam Dźwigała +0.2 +0.8
88' Dženan Pejčinović Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Adam Daghim +0.5 +1.7
VfL Wolfsburg Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −0.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
FC St. Pauli Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
61%Possession39%
1.88Expected goals (xG)0.89
0.14xG per shot0.1
13Shots9
5Shots on target4
38%Shots on target %44%
9Shots in box4
620Passes396
87%Pass accuracy78%
7Corners4
3Saves3
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
4Offsides2

Compared with usual

VfL Wolfsburg

last 17 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.4
Conceded12.2
xG1.881.3
xG against0.891.7
Shots1311.9
On target54.1
Shots faced914.9
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession61%45.3%high
Passes620408.1high
Pass accuracy87%79.5%high
Corners73.5
Fouls1011.3

FC St. Pauli

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.89
Conceded21.6
xG0.890.7
xG against1.881.3
Shots912.7
On target44.3
Shots faced1311.5
xG per shot0.10.07
Possession39%49.1%
Passes396496.2
Pass accuracy78%79.2%
Corners46
Fouls910.5

Timeline

  • 24' VAR Yannick Gerhardt
  • 25' Goal Christian Eriksen (pen) league goal #1
  • 40' Goal Eric Smith league goal #2 assist Adam Dźwigała
  • 53' Yellow Lars Ritzka
  • 55' Yellow Moritz Jenz
  • 61' Sub Lovro Majer → Mohamed Amoura
  • 68' Sub Lars Ritzka → Louis Oppie
  • 68' Sub Ricky-Jade Jones → Martijn Kaars
  • 73' Sub Saël Kumbedi → Kilian Fischer
  • 73' Sub Patrick Wimmer → Adam Daghim
  • 83' Sub Aaron Zehnter → Kevin Paredes
  • 83' Sub Yannick Gerhardt → Mattias Svanberg
  • 84' Yellow Adam Dźwigała
  • 88' Goal Dženan Pejčinović league goal #5 assist Adam Daghim
  • 90' Sub Mathias Pereira Lage → Abdoulie Ceesay

Category leaders

  • Key passesAaron Zehnter2
  • Duels wonMathias Pereira Lage8/10
  • DribblesJoel Chima Fujita5/6
  • Defensive actionsChristian Eriksen4
  • ShotsChristian Eriksen3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonMathias Pereira Lage3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.