Serie A · Matchweek 21
1:1
Rafiu Durosinmi 87'
HT 0:0
Nikola Krstović 83'
Fri, 16 Jan 2026, 19:45 (UK) · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Pisa 19th · 14 pts|Atalanta 7th · 32 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.19–1.15.

Player of the matchMarco Carnesecchi7.1Decisive moment83' Nikola Krstović+1.6

Pisa 1-1 Atalanta

Key numbers

  • Possession 43% – 57%
  • Shots 14 (6 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 83' Nikola Krstović, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Marco Carnesecchi 7.1Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.1 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
Pisa ahead 0 min · level 86 min · Atalanta ahead 4 min
  • Mehdi Léris — off the bench 22 min · 0G 1A
  • Rafiu Durosinmi — off the bench 22 min · 1G 0A
  • Nikola Krstović — off the bench 20 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

83' Nikola Krstović Goal +1.6
87' Rafiu Durosinmi Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mehdi Léris +0.3 +0.9
Pisa Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.4→ League points won 1
Atalanta Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −1.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

PisaAtalanta
43%Possession57%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.15
0.09xG per shot0.13
14Shots9
6Shots on target4
43%Shots on target %44%
13Shots in box8
327Passes451
74%Pass accuracy82%
10Corners1
3Saves5
12Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Offsides1

Compared with usual

Pisa

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.68
Conceded11.4
xG1.191
xG against1.151.3
Shots149.6
On target62.4
Shots faced915.7
xG per shot0.090.09
Possession43%41%
Passes327322.2
Pass accuracy74%75.8%
Corners103.5high
Fouls1213.4

Atalanta

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded10.93
xG1.151.5
xG against1.191
Shots914.9
On target44.3
Shots faced1411
xG per shot0.130.1
Possession57%54.5%
Passes451485.6
Pass accuracy82%84.4%
Corners15.5
Fouls1111.1

Timeline

  • 40' Yellow Mario Pašalić
  • 56' Sub Mario Pašalić → Éderson
  • 56' Sub Gianluca Scamacca → Giacomo Raspadori
  • 56' Sub Yunus Musah → Davide Zappacosta
  • 66' Yellow Giorgio Scalvini
  • 68' Sub Marius Marin → Mehdi Léris
  • 68' Sub Henrik Wendel Meister → Rafiu Durosinmi
  • 68' Sub Matteo Tramoni → Gabriele Piccinini
  • 70' Sub Giorgio Scalvini → Nikola Krstović
  • 81' Yellow Francesco Coppola
  • 82' Sub Nicola Zalewski → Kamaldeen Sulemana
  • 83' Goal Nikola Krstović league goal #5
  • 87' Goal Rafiu Durosinmi league goal #1 assist Mehdi Léris
  • 90+1' Sub Arturo Calabresi → Rosen Bozhinov

Category leaders

  • Key passesMichel Aebischer2
  • Duels wonCharles De Ketelaere10/19
  • DribblesCharles De Ketelaere4/8
  • Defensive actionsSamuele Angori4
  • ShotsStefano Moreo4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonNikola Krstović3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.