La Liga · Matchweek 20
Sergio Carreira 40'
Bryan Zaragoza 54' (pen)
Javier Rueda 79'
HT 1:0
Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 17:30 (UK) · Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo 7th · 32 pts|Rayo Vallecano 12th · 22 pts

Celta Vigo won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.87–1.11).

Player of the matchBryan Zaragoza8.0Decisive moment40' Sergio Carreira+1.0

Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano

Key numbers

  • Possession 49% – 51%
  • Shots 11 (7 on target) – 14 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 40' Sergio Carreira, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Bryan Zaragoza 8.0Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-03-0
Celta Vigo ahead 50 min · level 40 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min
  • Rayo Vallecano: Red card 66' → ~24 min a player down
  • Javier Rueda — off the bench 19 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

40' Sergio Carreira Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Hugo Álvarez +0.3 +1.0
54' Bryan Zaragoza Pen goal +0.3
66' Nobel Mendy Red card 0.0
79' Javier Rueda Goal 0.0
Celta Vigo Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Rayo Vallecano Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Celta VigoRayo Vallecano
49%Possession51%
1.87Expected goals (xG)1.11
0.17xG per shot0.08
11Shots14
7Shots on target3
64%Shots on target %21%
6Shots in box9
447Passes454
86%Pass accuracy86%
5Corners7
3Saves4
7Fouls14
4Yellow cards3
4Offsides1

Compared with usual

Celta Vigo

last 14 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.6
Conceded01
xG1.871.3
xG against1.111.3
Shots1110.7
On target74.2
Shots faced1411.7
xG per shot0.170.14
Possession49%49.9%
Passes447510.4
Pass accuracy86%85%
Corners53.3
Fouls713.5

Rayo Vallecano

last 12 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals00.75
Conceded31.3
xG1.111.2
xG against1.871.2
Shots1414.5
On target34.3
Shots faced1112.9
xG per shot0.080.08
Possession51%57.6%
Passes454456.8
Pass accuracy86%82.5%
Corners76.7
Fouls1413.2

Timeline

  • 40' Goal Sergio Carreira league goal #2 assist Hugo Álvarez
  • 44' Yellow Hugo Álvarez
  • 54' Goal Bryan Zaragoza (pen) league goal #1
  • 58' Yellow Hugo Sotelo
  • 58' Yellow Gerard Gumbau
  • 59' Yellow Carlos Martín
  • 61' Sub Gerard Gumbau → Randy Nteka
  • 61' Sub Alfonso Espino → Alemão
  • 62' Sub Hugo Álvarez → Williot Swedberg
  • 63' Sub Hugo Sotelo → Miguel Román
  • 65' VAR Nobel Mendy
  • 66' Yellow Óscar Mingueza
  • 66' Yellow Isi Palazón
  • 66' Red Nobel Mendy
  • 68' Sub Carlos Martín → Jozhua Vertrouwd
  • 71' Sub Javi Rodríguez → Manu Fernández
  • 71' Sub Óscar Mingueza → Javier Rueda
  • 78' Sub Jorge de Frutos → Óscar Trejo
  • 79' Sub Isi Palazón → Fran Pérez
  • 79' Goal Javier Rueda league goal #2
  • 83' Sub Carl Starfelt → Hugo Burcio

Category leaders

  • Key passesPedro Díaz3
  • Duels wonBryan Zaragoza9/14
  • DribblesBryan Zaragoza4/7
  • Defensive actionsÓscar Mingueza6
  • Fouls wonBryan Zaragoza3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.