Chelsea 1-0 Pafos
Key numbers
- Possession 71% – 29%
- Shots 21 (7 on target) – 4 (2)
- Decisive moment: 78' Moisés Caicedo, FN xPts +1.3
Moisés Caicedo 78'
HT 0:0
Chelsea 14th → 6th · 13 pts|Pafos 29th · 6 pts
Chelsea won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.85–0.14).
Player of the matchMoisés CaicedoDecisive moment78' Moisés Caicedo+1.3
Player of the match
Moisés Caicedo Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 12 min · level 78 min · Pafos ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
78'
Moisés Caicedo
Goal
+1.3
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Pafos
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaPafos
71%Possession29%
1.85Expected goals (xG)0.14
0.09xG per shot0.04
21Shots4
7Shots on target2
33%Shots on target %50%
11Shots in box3
746Passes306
95%Pass accuracy80%
15Corners2
2Saves6
6Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Offsides0
Compared with usual
Chelsea
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.85 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 0.14 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 71% | 57.8% | |
| Passes | 746 | 524.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 95% | 86.4% | high |
| Corners | 15 | 5.5 | high |
| Fouls | 6 | 11.6 |
Pafos
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0.67 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.14 | 0.93 | |
| xG against | 1.85 | 2.2 | |
| Shots | 4 | 9.2 | |
| On target | 2 | 3 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 20.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.04 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 29% | 37.2% | |
| Passes | 306 | 331 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 74.3% | |
| Corners | 2 | 2.8 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.5 |
Timeline
- 33' Yellow Mislav Oršić
- 46' Sub Filip Jørgensen → Robert Sánchez
- 46' Sub Reece James → Estêvão
- 56' Yellow Ken Sema
- 65' Sub Jajá → Domingos Quina
- 65' Sub Anderson Silva → Landry Dimata
- 70' Sub Jorrel Hato → Marc Cucurella
- 70' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Jamie Gittens
- 70' Sub Liam Delap → João Pedro
- 73' Yellow Jamie Gittens
- 78' Yellow Ivan Šunjić
- 78' Goal Moisés Caicedo competition goal #2
- 83' Sub Mislav Oršić → Mons Bassouamina
- 83' Sub Ken Sema → Bruno Langa
- 86' Yellow Enzo Fernández
- 89' Sub Vlad Dragomir → Georgios Michael
Category leaders
- Key passesMoisés Caicedo3
- Duels wonAlejandro Garnacho12/15
- DribblesPedro Neto5/7
- Defensive actionsAlejandro Garnacho6
- ShotsMoisés Caicedo4 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonMalo Gusto3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.