SC Braga 1-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 6 (0 on target) – 12 (5)
Ryan Yates 54' (OG)
HT 0:0
SC Braga 8th → 5th · 16 pts|Nottingham Forest 14th · 11 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (0.55–1.79) but SC Braga took the win.
Player of the matchLukáš Horníček
Player of the match
Lukáš Horníček Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
SC Braga ahead 36 min · level 54 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
54'
Ryan Yates
Own goal
−0.9
90+4'
Elliot Anderson
Red card
0.0
SC Braga
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments +1.1Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments −0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
SC BragaNottingham Forest
57%Possession43%
0.55Expected goals (xG)1.79
0.09xG per shot0.15
6Shots12
0Shots on target5
0%Shots on target %42%
6Shots in box7
564Passes424
87%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners1
4Saves0
10Fouls18
3Yellow cards3
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
SC Braga
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.83 | |
| xG | 0.55 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.79 | 0.9 | |
| Shots | 6 | 11.7 | |
| On target | 0 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 57% | 52.8% | |
| Passes | 564 | 495.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 84% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.8 |
Nottingham Forest
30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.79 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.55 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 13.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 11.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 51.3% | |
| Passes | 424 | 460 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 82.9% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 18 | 11.6 |
Timeline
- 8' Yellow Sikou Niakaté
- 46' Sub Sikou Niakaté → Vítor Carvalho
- 50' Yellow Gabriel Martínez
- 54' Goal Ryan Yates (OG) assist Ricardo Horta
- 62' Sub Florian Grillitsch → João Moutinho
- 62' Sub Fran Navarro → Pau Víctor
- 68' Sub Ola Aina → Neco Williams
- 68' Sub James McAtee → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 68' Sub Douglas Luiz → Elliot Anderson
- 75' Sub Ricardo Horta → Mario Dorgeles
- 75' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Nicolás Domínguez
- 83' Sub Ryan Yates → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 84' Yellow Neco Williams
- 85' Sub Gabriel Martínez → Leonardo Lelo
- 89' Yellow Dan Ndoye
- 90+4' Red Elliot Anderson
- 90+5' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
Category leaders
- Key passesGabriel Martínez2
- Duels wonGustaf Lagerbielke7/7
- DribblesJean-Baptiste Gorby2/3
- Defensive actionsGustaf Lagerbielke5
- ShotsMorgan Gibbs-White4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonGabriel Martínez4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.