Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 66% – 34%
- Shots 10 (1 on target) – 7 (2)
- Decisive moment: 12' Igor Jesus, FN xPts +0.7
HT 0:1
Igor Jesus 12'
Taiwo Awoniyi 79'
Taiwo Awoniyi 79'
Brentford 8th → 9th · 33 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 25 pts
Brentford edged xG (1.81–0.78) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchIgor JesusDecisive moment12' Igor Jesus+0.7
Player of the match
Igor Jesus Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.3 (Strong)
Game state
Brentford ahead 0 min · level 12 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 78 min
- Taiwo Awoniyi — off the bench 22 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
12'
Igor Jesus
Goal
+0.7
79'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.1
+0.4
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BrentfordNottingham Forest
66%Possession34%
1.81Expected goals (xG)0.78
0.18xG per shot0.11
10Shots7
1Shots on target2
10%Shots on target %29%
9Shots in box5
567Passes295
86%Pass accuracy74%
6Corners5
0Saves1
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Brentford
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.81 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.78 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 10 | 10.5 | |
| On target | 1 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 66% | 47% | high |
| Passes | 567 | 398.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 79.4% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.7 |
Nottingham Forest
31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.78 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.81 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 7 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 11.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 34% | 51% | |
| Passes | 295 | 458.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 83% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.8 |
Timeline
- 12' Goal Igor Jesus league goal #2
- 37' Sub Kristoffer Ajer → Sepp van den Berg
- 37' Sub Mikkel Damsgaard → Dango Ouattara
- 61' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Omari Hutchinson
- 66' Yellow Yehor Yarmolyuk
- 67' Sub Rico Henry → Aaron Hickey
- 68' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 79' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #1 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 81' Sub Yehor Yarmolyuk → Jordan Henderson
- 81' Sub Michael Kayode → Keane Lewis-Potter
- 87' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Morato
Category leaders
- Key passesMathias Jensen3
- Duels wonKevin Schade10/19
- DribblesMichael Kayode2/4
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.