Premier League · Matchweek 23
HT 0:1
Emiliano Buendía 19'
Ollie Watkins 88'
Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 14:00 (UK) · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle 9th · 33 pts|Aston Villa 3rd · 46 pts

Newcastle edged xG (2.18–1.16) but Aston Villa took the win.

Player of the matchSandro Tonali8.1Decisive moment19' Emiliano Buendía+0.7

Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 15 (4 on target) – 14 (8)
  • Decisive moment: 19' Emiliano Buendía, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Sandro Tonali 8.1Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-2
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 19 min · Aston Villa ahead 71 min
  • Lucas Digne — off the bench 15 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

19' Emiliano Buendía Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Rogers +0.2 +0.7
88' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Lucas Digne +0.1 +0.4
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −1.0→ League points won 0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

NewcastleAston Villa
61%Possession39%
2.18Expected goals (xG)1.16
0.15xG per shot0.08
15Shots14
4Shots on target8
27%Shots on target %57%
9Shots in box7
519Passes353
86%Pass accuracy77%
6Corners5
6Saves4
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
2Offsides0

Compared with usual

Newcastle

34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.7
Conceded21.1
xG2.181.5
xG against1.161.1
Shots1513.6
On target45.2
Shots faced1411.4
xG per shot0.150.11
Possession61%53.5%
Passes519469.7
Pass accuracy86%82.9%
Corners66.2
Fouls79.1

Aston Villa

31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded01
xG1.161.3
xG against2.181.3
Shots1412.3
On target84.7
Shots faced1512.3
xG per shot0.080.1
Possession39%54.4%
Passes353457.3
Pass accuracy77%85.1%
Corners55.1
Fouls1210.1

Timeline

  • 19' Goal Emiliano Buendía league goal #5 assist Morgan Rogers
  • 27' Yellow Joelinton
  • 48' Sub Joelinton → Jacob Ramsey
  • 59' Sub Jadon Sancho → Leon Bailey
  • 62' Sub Yoane Wissa → Nick Woltemade
  • 63' Sub Anthony Gordon → Anthony Elanga
  • 74' Sub Youri Tielemans → Lamare Bogarde
  • 75' Sub Pau Torres → Tyrone Mings
  • 75' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Lucas Digne
  • 79' Yellow Lucas Digne
  • 84' Sub Sandro Tonali → Joe Willock
  • 88' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #8 assist Lucas Digne
  • 89' Sub Amadou Onana → Victor Lindelöf
  • 90+2' Yellow Ian Maatsen

Category leaders

  • Key passesLewis Miley3
  • Duels wonSandro Tonali13/16
  • DribblesSandro Tonali5/6
  • Defensive actionsSandro Tonali8
  • ShotsEmiliano Buendía4 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonJoelinton3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.