Premier League · Matchweek 23
Lisandro Martínez 29' (OG)
Mikel Merino 84'
HT 1:1
Bryan Mbeumo 37'
Patrick Dorgu 50'
Matheus Cunha 87'
Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 16:30 (UK) · Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal 1st · 50 pts|Manchester United 6th → 4th · 38 pts

Arsenal edged xG (1.19–0.71) but Manchester United took the win.

Player of the matchBruno Fernandes7.7Decisive moment87' Matheus Cunha+1.6

Arsenal 2-3 Manchester United

Key numbers

  • Possession 56% – 44%
  • Shots 15 (4 on target) – 10 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 87' Matheus Cunha, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Bruno Fernandes 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-11-22-22-3
Arsenal ahead 8 min · level 45 min · Manchester United ahead 37 min
  • Mikel Merino — off the bench 32 min · 1G 0A
  • Matheus Cunha — off the bench 21 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

29' Lisandro Martínez Own goal −0.5
37' Bryan Mbeumo Goal +0.5
50' Patrick Dorgu Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.3 +1.0
84' Mikel Merino Goal +1.1
87' Matheus Cunha Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Kobbie Mainoo +0.5 +1.6
Arsenal Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −1.2→ League points won 0
Manchester United Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ArsenalManchester United
56%Possession44%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.71
0.08xG per shot0.07
15Shots10
4Shots on target3
27%Shots on target %30%
9Shots in box3
443Passes364
84%Pass accuracy79%
9Corners2
0Saves3
11Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
3Offsides0

Compared with usual

Arsenal

34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.1
Conceded30.59high
xG1.191.9
xG against0.710.73
Shots1515.4
On target45.5
Shots faced109.1
xG per shot0.080.12
Possession56%57.5%
Passes443482.2
Pass accuracy84%84.6%
Corners95.9
Fouls1110.4

Manchester United

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.7
Conceded21.5
xG0.711.8
xG against1.191.2
Shots1017
On target36
Shots faced1511
xG per shot0.070.11
Possession44%54%
Passes364464.2
Pass accuracy79%81.8%
Corners24.6
Fouls99.6

Timeline

  • 29' Goal Lisandro Martínez (OG)
  • 37' Goal Bryan Mbeumo league goal #8
  • 50' Goal Patrick Dorgu league goal #3 assist Bruno Fernandes
  • 58' Sub Gabriel Jesus → Viktor Gyökeres
  • 58' Sub Piero Hincapié → Ben White
  • 58' Sub Martin Ødegaard → Mikel Merino
  • 58' Sub Martín Zubimendi → Eberechi Eze
  • 64' Yellow Declan Rice
  • 69' Sub Bryan Mbeumo → Matheus Cunha
  • 75' Sub Leandro Trossard → Noni Madueke
  • 81' Sub Patrick Dorgu → Benjamin Šeško
  • 84' Goal Mikel Merino league goal #4
  • 87' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #5 assist Kobbie Mainoo
  • 88' Sub Amad Diallo → Noussair Mazraoui
  • 90+1' Yellow Eberechi Eze

Category leaders

  • Key passesDeclan Rice4
  • Duels wonBukayo Saka7/12
  • DribblesBukayo Saka3/5
  • Defensive actionsLuke Shaw7
  • ShotsMikel Merino3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonBukayo Saka4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.