Arsenal 2-3 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 15 (4 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 87' Matheus Cunha, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Bruno Fernandes 7.7Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
1-01-11-22-22-3
Arsenal ahead 8 min · level 45 min · Manchester United ahead 37 min
- Mikel Merino — off the bench 32 min · 1G 0A
- Matheus Cunha — off the bench 21 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
29'
Lisandro Martínez
Own goal
−0.5
37'
Bryan Mbeumo
Goal
+0.5
50'
Patrick Dorgu
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.3
+1.0
84'
Mikel Merino
Goal
+1.1
87'
Matheus Cunha
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Kobbie Mainoo +0.5
+1.6
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −1.2→ League points won 0
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
ArsenalManchester United
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.71
Compared with usual
Arsenal
34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.59 | high |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 0.71 | 0.73 | |
| Shots | 15 | 15.4 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 9.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 56% | 57.5% | |
| Passes | 443 | 482.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84.6% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.4 | |
Manchester United
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.71 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 10 | 17 | |
| On target | 3 | 6 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 44% | 54% | |
| Passes | 364 | 464.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81.8% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 9.6 | |
Timeline
- 29'
Goal
Lisandro Martínez (OG)
- 37'
Goal
Bryan Mbeumo league goal #8
- 50'
Goal
Patrick Dorgu league goal #3 assist Bruno Fernandes
- 58'
Sub
Gabriel Jesus → Viktor Gyökeres
- 58'
Sub
Piero Hincapié → Ben White
- 58'
Sub
Martin Ødegaard → Mikel Merino
- 58'
Sub
Martín Zubimendi → Eberechi Eze
- 64'
Yellow
Declan Rice
- 69'
Sub
Bryan Mbeumo → Matheus Cunha
- 75'
Sub
Leandro Trossard → Noni Madueke
- 81'
Sub
Patrick Dorgu → Benjamin Šeško
- 84'
Goal
Mikel Merino league goal #4
- 87'
Goal
Matheus Cunha league goal #5 assist Kobbie Mainoo
- 88'
Sub
Amad Diallo → Noussair Mazraoui
- 90+1'
Yellow
Eberechi Eze
Category leaders
- Key passesDeclan Rice4
- Duels wonBukayo Saka7/12
- DribblesBukayo Saka3/5
- Defensive actionsLuke Shaw7
- ShotsMikel Merino3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonBukayo Saka4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.