Serie A · Matchweek 22
Lorenzo Pellegrini 74' (pen)
HT 0:0
Koni De Winter 62'
Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 19:45 (UK) · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
AS Roma 5th → 3rd · 43 pts|AC Milan 2nd · 47 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 2.72–0.45.

Player of the matchLuka Modrić7.7Decisive moment62' Koni De Winter+1.2

AS Roma 1-1 AC Milan

Key numbers

  • Possession 58% – 42%
  • Shots 15 (7 on target) – 5 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 62' Koni De Winter, FN xPts +1.2
Player of the match
Luka Modrić 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
AS Roma ahead 0 min · level 78 min · AC Milan ahead 12 min
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini — off the bench 21 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

62' Koni De Winter Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Luka Modrić +0.4 +1.2
74' Lorenzo Pellegrini Pen goal +1.0
AS Roma Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
AC Milan Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

AS RomaAC Milan
58%Possession42%
2.72Expected goals (xG)0.45
0.18xG per shot0.09
15Shots5
7Shots on target2
47%Shots on target %40%
11Shots in box4
586Passes434
87%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners3
1Saves6
15Fouls11
0Yellow cards4
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

AS Roma

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded10.69
xG2.721.3high
xG against0.451.1
Shots1513.8
On target74.9
Shots faced510.1
xG per shot0.180.1high
Possession58%57.2%
Passes586495.2
Pass accuracy87%83%
Corners55
Fouls1514.3

AC Milan

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded10.71
xG0.451.5
xG against2.720.98
Shots514.8low
On target24.9
Shots faced1510.3
xG per shot0.090.11
Possession42%53.6%
Passes434506
Pass accuracy83%87.5%
Corners35.5
Fouls1110

Timeline

  • 46' Sub Alexis Saelemaekers → Zachary Athekame
  • 51' Yellow Adrien Rabiot
  • 55' Yellow Zachary Athekame
  • 59' Sub Manu Koné → Niccolò Pisilli
  • 62' Goal Koni De Winter league goal #1 assist Luka Modrić
  • 68' Sub Rafael Leão → Niclas Füllkrug
  • 68' Sub Christopher Nkunku → Christian Pulisic
  • 69' Sub Paulo Dybala → Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 69' Sub Donyell Malen → Robinio Vaz
  • 70' Yellow Luka Modrić
  • 74' Yellow Mike Maignan
  • 74' Goal Lorenzo Pellegrini (pen) league goal #3
  • 79' Sub Samuele Ricci → Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 85' Sub Matías Soulé → Lorenzo Venturino

Category leaders

  • Key passesPaulo Dybala4
  • Duels wonAdrien Rabiot7/15
  • DribblesWesley3/6
  • Defensive actionsDaniele Ghilardi7
  • ShotsDonyell Malen5 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonLuka Modrić3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.