UEFA Europa League · League phase MD8
Morgan Rogers 64'
Tyrone Mings 76'
Jamaldeen Jimoh 87'
HT 0:1
Karim Konaté 33'
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 49'
Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 2nd → 1st · 21 pts|Red Bull Salzburg 28th · 6 pts

Red Bull Salzburg edged xG (1.57–2.38) but Aston Villa took the win.

Player of the matchTyrone Mings8.6Decisive moment87' Jamaldeen Jimoh+1.7

Aston Villa 3-2 Red Bull Salzburg

Key numbers

  • Possession 65% – 35%
  • Shots 14 (9 on target) – 14 (8)
  • Decisive moment: 87' Jamaldeen Jimoh, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Tyrone Mings 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-22-23-2
Aston Villa ahead 3 min · level 44 min · Red Bull Salzburg ahead 43 min
  • Morgan Rogers — off the bench 55 min · 1G 0A
  • Matty Cash — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
  • Jamaldeen Jimoh — off the bench 24 min · 1G 0A
  • Kadan Young — off the bench 12 min · 0G 1A
  • Moussa Kounfolo Yeo — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

33' Karim Konaté Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Edmund Baidoo +0.3 +0.9
49' Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Kerim Alajbegović +0.2 +0.7
64' Morgan Rogers Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Emiliano Buendía +0.2 +0.5
76' Tyrone Mings Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Matty Cash +0.3 +1.1
87' Jamaldeen Jimoh Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Kadan Young +0.5 +1.7
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +3.3Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −1.0→ League points won 3
Red Bull Salzburg Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.6Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −3.1Time effect +0.9→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaRed Bull Salzburg
65%Possession35%
1.57Expected goals (xG)2.38
0.11xG per shot0.17
14Shots14
9Shots on target8
64%Shots on target %57%
11Shots in box9
658Passes364
88%Pass accuracy80%
4Corners2
6Saves6
8Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Offsides6

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.5
Conceded20.97
xG1.571.3
xG against2.381.3
Shots1412.3
On target94.8
Shots faced1412.4
xG per shot0.110.1
Possession65%53.9%
Passes658454.1high
Pass accuracy88%84.8%
Corners45.1
Fouls810.2

Red Bull Salzburg

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded31.7
xG2.381.4
xG against1.572.2
Shots1413.4
On target85
Shots faced1417.1
xG per shot0.170.1
Possession35%46.4%
Passes364443.6
Pass accuracy80%82.6%
Corners23.3
Fouls1311.1

Timeline

  • 33' Goal Karim Konaté competition goal #1 assist Edmund Baidoo
  • 35' Yellow Tim Trummer
  • 35' Sub Ollie Watkins → Morgan Rogers
  • 46' Sub George Hemmings → Matty Cash
  • 46' Sub Karim Konaté → Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
  • 49' Goal Moussa Kounfolo Yeo competition goal #1 assist Kerim Alajbegović
  • 64' Goal Morgan Rogers competition goal #1 assist Emiliano Buendía
  • 66' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Jamaldeen Jimoh
  • 73' Sub Kerim Alajbegović → Clement Bischoff
  • 73' Sub Edmund Baidoo → Karim Onisiwo
  • 76' Goal Tyrone Mings competition goal #1 assist Matty Cash
  • 78' Sub Amadou Onana → Ezri Konsa
  • 79' Sub Jadon Sancho → Kadan Young
  • 87' Goal Jamaldeen Jimoh competition goal #1 assist Kadan Young
  • 89' Sub Sota Kitano → Maurits Kjaergaard
  • 89' Sub Soumaïla Diabaté → Oliver Lukić

Category leaders

  • Key passesLucas Digne3
  • Duels wonLamare Bogarde6/9
  • DribblesJadon Sancho3/4
  • Defensive actionsAmadou Onana9
  • ShotsHarvey Elliott3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonLamare Bogarde3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.