UEFA Europa League · League phase MD8
Bruno Duarte 89'
HT 0:0
Fer López 88'
Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
FK Crvena Zvezda 11th → 10th · 14 pts|Celta Vigo 14th → 11th · 13 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.01–1.29.

Player of the matchRodrigão7.9Decisive moment88' Fer López+1.7

FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Celta Vigo

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 12 (2 on target) – 5 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 88' Fer López, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Rodrigão 7.9Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead 0 min · level 89 min · Celta Vigo ahead 1 min
  • Bruno Duarte — off the bench 11 min · 1G 0A
  • Fer López — off the bench 28 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

88' Fer López Goal +1.7
89' Bruno Duarte Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Timi Max Elšnik +0.3 +1.0
FK Crvena Zvezda Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.1Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Celta Vigo Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.7→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FK Crvena ZvezdaCelta Vigo
57%Possession43%
1.01Expected goals (xG)1.29
0.08xG per shot0.26
12Shots5
2Shots on target3
17%Shots on target %60%
9Shots in box4
534Passes413
86%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners1
2Saves1
12Fouls18
2Yellow cards1
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

FK Crvena Zvezda

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.86
Conceded10.71
xG1.011.3
xG against1.291.5
Shots1212.1
On target23.1
Shots faced511.6
xG per shot0.080.1
Possession57%46.6%
Passes534426.6
Pass accuracy86%79.3%
Corners45.1
Fouls1212

Celta Vigo

last 17 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded11.1
xG1.291.3
xG against1.011.3
Shots510.9
On target34.4
Shots faced1212.2
xG per shot0.260.14
Possession43%49.2%
Passes413496.2
Pass accuracy82%84.2%
Corners13.7
Fouls1812.8

Timeline

  • 9' VAR Marko Arnautović
  • 19' VAR Marko Arnautović
  • 35' Yellow Miguel Román
  • 42' Yellow Rade Krunić
  • 46' Sub Vasilije Kostov → Vladimir Lučić
  • 50' Sub Nair Tiknizyan → Adem Avdić
  • 61' Sub Aleksandar Katai → Nemanja Radonjić
  • 62' Sub Borja Iglesias → Ferran Jutglà
  • 62' Sub Iago Aspas → Fer López
  • 69' Sub Hugo Álvarez → Bryan Zaragoza
  • 73' Yellow Vladimir Lučić
  • 79' Sub Nikola Stanković → Milson
  • 79' Sub Marko Arnautović → Bruno Duarte
  • 82' Sub Javier Rueda → Óscar Mingueza
  • 82' Sub Yoel Lago → Mihailo Ristić
  • 88' Goal Fer López competition goal #1
  • 89' Goal Bruno Duarte competition goal #2 assist Timi Max Elšnik

Category leaders

  • Key passesJavier Rueda4
  • Duels wonRodrigão10/12
  • DribblesNemanja Radonjić2/2
  • Defensive actionsRodrigão6
  • ShotsBorja Iglesias3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonRade Krunić4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.