Premier League · Matchweek 24
HT 0:1
Dango Ouattara 45'
Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 14:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 3rd · 46 pts|Brentford 9th → 7th · 36 pts

Aston Villa edged xG (2.4–0.38) but Brentford took the win.

Player of the matchIan Maatsen7.8Decisive moment45' Dango Ouattara+0.9

Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford

Key numbers

  • Possession 72% – 28%
  • Shots 27 (5 on target) – 6 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 45' Dango Ouattara, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Ian Maatsen 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

0-1
Aston Villa ahead 0 min · level 45 min · Brentford ahead 45 min
  • Brentford: Red card 42' → ~48 min a player down

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

42' Kevin Schade Red card −0.4
45' Dango Ouattara Goal +0.9
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −1.2→ League points won 0
Brentford Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.4→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaBrentford
72%Possession28%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.38
0.09xG per shot0.06
27Shots6
5Shots on target2
19%Shots on target %33%
17Shots in box5
636Passes256
88%Pass accuracy72%
12Corners1
0Saves5
8Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
1Offsides6

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.6
Conceded11
xG2.41.3
xG against0.381.3
Shots2712.4high
On target55
Shots faced612.5
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession72%54.2%
Passes636460.2
Pass accuracy88%84.9%
Corners125.1high
Fouls810.1

Brentford

28 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded01.3
xG0.381.5
xG against2.41.2
Shots610.5
On target24.3
Shots faced2711.9high
xG per shot0.060.14
Possession28%47.7%
Passes256404.9
Pass accuracy72%79.6%
Corners14.8
Fouls810.7

Timeline

  • 35' Yellow Kristoffer Ajer
  • 42' Red Kevin Schade
  • 45' Goal Dango Ouattara league goal #4
  • 45+5' Yellow Michael Kayode
  • 46' Sub Lamare Bogarde → Leon Bailey
  • 52' VAR Tammy Abraham
  • 60' Sub Jordan Henderson → Nathan Collins
  • 60' Sub Dango Ouattara → Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 76' Sub Mathias Jensen → Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 77' Sub Jadon Sancho → Harvey Elliott
  • 84' Sub Rico Henry → Aaron Hickey
  • 90+1' Yellow Vitaly Janelt

Category leaders

  • Key passesDouglas Luiz5
  • Duels wonIan Maatsen8/12
  • DribblesDouglas Luiz2/2
  • Defensive actionsIan Maatsen6
  • ShotsMatty Cash4 (on target 1)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.