Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Fábio Vieira 34' (pen)
Luka Vušković 53'
HT 1:1
Harry Kane 42'
Luis Díaz 46'
Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 17:30 (UK) · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV · 19 pts|Bayern München · 51 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 2.25–2.41.

Player of the matchJoshua Kimmich7.6Decisive moment34' Fábio Vieira+0.8

Hamburger SV 2-2 Bayern München

Key numbers

  • Possession 28% – 72%
  • Shots 14 (4 on target) – 13 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 34' Fábio Vieira, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Joshua Kimmich 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-11-22-2
Hamburger SV ahead 8 min · level 75 min · Bayern München ahead 7 min
  • Luis Díaz — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

34' Fábio Vieira Pen goal +0.8
42' Harry Kane Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Joshua Kimmich +0.2 +0.8
46' Luis Díaz Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Michael Olise +0.2 +0.8
53' Luka Vušković Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist William Mikelbrencis +0.2 +0.6
Hamburger SV Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.9→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Hamburger SVBayern München
28%Possession72%
2.25Expected goals (xG)2.41
0.16xG per shot0.19
14Shots13
4Shots on target7
29%Shots on target %54%
11Shots in box8
262Passes689
79%Pass accuracy91%
3Corners9
4Saves1
12Fouls16
6Yellow cards4
3Offsides1

Compared with usual

Hamburger SV

last 20 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.9
Conceded21.4
xG2.251
xG against2.411.3
Shots1413.6
On target45.1
Shots faced1313.5
xG per shot0.160.08high
Possession28%48.3%low
Passes262429.1low
Pass accuracy79%82%
Corners33.9
Fouls1212.5

Bayern München

30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals23.5
Conceded20.97
xG2.412.5
xG against2.250.81
Shots1318.3
On target78.5
Shots faced149.9
xG per shot0.190.13
Possession72%65.2%
Passes689685.7
Pass accuracy91%88.7%
Corners95.7
Fouls169.6high

Timeline

  • 23' Yellow Nicolai Remberg
  • 34' Goal Fábio Vieira (pen) league goal #2
  • 42' Goal Harry Kane league goal #22 assist Joshua Kimmich
  • 46' Sub Lennart Karl → Luis Díaz
  • 46' Goal Luis Díaz league goal #10 assist Michael Olise
  • 53' Goal Luka Vušković league goal #4 assist William Mikelbrencis
  • 55' Yellow Miro Muheim
  • 57' Yellow Min-jae Kim
  • 59' Sub Bakery Jatta → Giorgi Gocholeishvili
  • 65' Sub Min-jae Kim → Jonathan Tah
  • 65' Sub Serge Gnabry → Jamal Musiala
  • 73' Sub William Mikelbrencis → Warmed Omari
  • 73' Sub Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer → Rayan Philippe
  • 75' Yellow Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 85' Yellow Giorgi Gocholeishvili
  • 85' Sub Albert Sambi Lokonga → Immanuel Pherai
  • 85' Sub Fábio Vieira → Robert Glatzel
  • 87' Yellow Harry Kane
  • 90+3' Yellow Daniel Heuer Fernandes
  • 90+5' Yellow Michael Olise
  • 90+10' Yellow Nicolás Capaldo
  • 90+10' Yellow Joshua Kimmich

Category leaders

  • Key passesJoshua Kimmich3
  • Duels wonNicolás Capaldo7/12
  • DribblesSerge Gnabry3/3
  • Defensive actionsNicolás Capaldo7
  • ShotsNicolás Capaldo3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonJoshua Kimmich3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.