Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 16 (6 on target) – 11 (4)
- Decisive moment: 90' Kylian Mbappé, FN xPts +1.3
Vinícius Júnior 15'
Kylian Mbappé 90' (pen)
Kylian Mbappé 90' (pen)
HT 1:0
Jorge de Frutos 49'
Real Madrid 2nd · 54 pts|Rayo Vallecano 16th → 17th · 22 pts
Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.21–1.03).
Player of the matchVinícius JúniorDecisive moment90' Kylian Mbappé+1.3
Player of the match
Vinícius Júnior Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
Real Madrid ahead 34 min · level 56 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min
- Rayo Vallecano: Red card 80' → ~10 min a player down
- Brahim Díaz — off the bench 80 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
15'
Vinícius Júnior
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Brahim Díaz +0.2
+0.5
49'
Jorge de Frutos
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Álvaro García +0.2
+0.5
80'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Red card
−0.2
90'
Kylian Mbappé
Pen goal
+1.3
90+13'
Josep Chavarría
Red card
0.0
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.7→ League points won 3
Rayo Vallecano
Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
57%Possession43%
2.21Expected goals (xG)1.03
0.14xG per shot0.09
16Shots11
6Shots on target4
38%Shots on target %36%
12Shots in box4
582Passes443
90%Pass accuracy88%
9Corners4
3Saves4
6Fouls18
2Yellow cards8
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 2.21 | 2.2 | |
| xG against | 1.03 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 16 | 19.6 | |
| On target | 6 | 7.2 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 57% | 59.8% | |
| Passes | 582 | 574.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88.6% | |
| Corners | 9 | 6.7 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10.1 |
Rayo Vallecano
last 14 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.71 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.03 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.21 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 11 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.1 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 12.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 43% | 57.8% | low |
| Passes | 443 | 456.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.5 | |
| Fouls | 18 | 13.1 |
Timeline
- 10' Sub Jude Bellingham → Brahim Díaz
- 15' Goal Vinícius Júnior league goal #6 assist Brahim Díaz
- 46' Sub Raúl Asencio → Dani Ceballos
- 49' Goal Jorge de Frutos league goal #7 assist Álvaro García
- 53' Yellow Gerard Gumbau
- 56' Sub Jorge de Frutos → Pedro Díaz
- 56' Sub Gerard Gumbau → Óscar Valentín
- 57' Yellow Josep Chavarría
- 60' Sub Franco Mastantuono → Gonzalo García
- 65' Yellow Isi Palazón
- 69' Yellow Dani Ceballos
- 72' Yellow Óscar Valentín
- 77' Sub Dean Huijsen → David Alaba
- 77' Sub Arda Güler → Rodrygo
- 77' Sub Álvaro García → Alfonso Espino
- 80' Red Pathé Ismaël Ciss
- 82' Yellow Augusto Batalla
- 83' Yellow Vinícius Júnior
- 83' Yellow Ilias Akhomach
- 83' Sub Isi Palazón → Luiz Felipe
- 84' Sub Ilias Akhomach → Carlos Martín
- 90' Goal Kylian Mbappé (pen) league goal #22
- 90+9' Yellow Alfonso Espino
- 90+13' Second yellow Josep Chavarría
Category leaders
- Key passesFederico Valverde3
- Duels wonFederico Valverde8/10
- DribblesKylian Mbappé3/7
- Defensive actionsEduardo Camavinga7
- ShotsKylian Mbappé3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonIlias Akhomach4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.