La Liga · Matchweek 22
Chimy Ávila 23' (pen)
Pablo Fornals 88'
HT 1:1
Luis Rioja 20'
Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 15:15 (UK) · Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Real Betis 6th → 5th · 35 pts|Valencia 15th · 23 pts

Valencia edged xG (1.87–1.9) but Real Betis took the win.

Player of the matchÁlvaro Valles7.5Decisive moment88' Pablo Fornals+1.6

Real Betis 2-1 Valencia

Key numbers

  • Possession 53% – 47%
  • Shots 14 (2 on target) – 15 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 88' Pablo Fornals, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Álvaro Valles 7.5Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.5 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-12-1
Real Betis ahead 2 min · level 85 min · Valencia ahead 3 min
  • Pablo Fornals — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

20' Luis Rioja Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Lucas Beltrán +0.2 +0.7
23' Chimy Ávila Pen goal +0.8
88' Pablo Fornals Goal +1.6
Real Betis Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.7→ League points won 3
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Real BetisValencia
53%Possession47%
1.87Expected goals (xG)1.9
0.13xG per shot0.13
14Shots15
2Shots on target4
14%Shots on target %27%
7Shots in box11
469Passes405
84%Pass accuracy82%
3Corners5
3Saves0
15Fouls13
0Yellow cards4
2Offsides1

Compared with usual

Real Betis

last 12 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.8
Conceded11.5
xG1.871.5
xG against1.91.7
Shots1415.8
On target25
Shots faced1514.3
xG per shot0.130.09
Possession53%51.2%
Passes469467.8
Pass accuracy84%83.7%
Corners34.5
Fouls1511.5high

Valencia

last 14 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.3
Conceded21.3
xG1.91.5
xG against1.871.2
Shots1513
On target43.7
Shots faced1410.9
xG per shot0.130.11
Possession47%51.6%
Passes405461.8
Pass accuracy82%82.2%
Corners55.2
Fouls1312

Timeline

  • 20' Goal Luis Rioja league goal #2 assist Lucas Beltrán
  • 23' Goal Chimy Ávila (pen) league goal #1
  • 46' Sub Sergi Altimira → Pablo Fornals
  • 50' Yellow Eray Cömert
  • 53' Yellow Pepelu
  • 67' Sub Chimy Ávila → Pablo García
  • 72' Sub Hugo Duro → Umar Sadiq
  • 72' Sub Lucas Beltrán → André Almeida
  • 72' Sub Pepelu → Baptiste Santamaria
  • 77' Sub Luis Rioja → Diego López
  • 81' Sub José Copete → César Tárrega
  • 85' Yellow Dimitri Foulquier
  • 88' Goal Pablo Fornals league goal #6
  • 90+1' Sub Diego Llorente → Valentín Gómez
  • 90+1' Sub Antony → Angel Ortiz
  • 90+7' Yellow César Tárrega

Category leaders

  • Key passesAntony3
  • Duels wonNelson Deossa12/19
  • DribblesNelson Deossa4/5
  • Defensive actionsJosé Luis Gayà6
  • ShotsFilip Ugrinić3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonLucas Beltrán4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.