Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Manolis Saliakas 35'
Danel Sinani 55' (pen)
HT 1:0
Jamie Leweling 90'
Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 14:30 (UK) · Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
FC St. Pauli · 17 pts|VfB Stuttgart · 39 pts

FC St. Pauli won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.95–0.84).

Player of the matchArkadiusz Pyrka7.9Decisive moment35' Manolis Saliakas+0.9

FC St. Pauli 2-1 VfB Stuttgart

Key numbers

  • Possession 32% – 68%
  • Shots 15 (7 on target) – 7 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 35' Manolis Saliakas, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Arkadiusz Pyrka 7.9Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)

Game state

1-02-02-1
FC St. Pauli ahead 55 min · level 35 min · VfB Stuttgart ahead 0 min
  • Jamie Leweling — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
  • Jeremy Arevalo — off the bench 12 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

35' Manolis Saliakas Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Arkadiusz Pyrka +0.3 +0.9
55' Danel Sinani Pen goal +0.7
90' Jamie Leweling Goal · assist Jeremy Arevalo +0.1
FC St. Pauli Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −0.2Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
VfB Stuttgart Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
32%Possession68%
1.95Expected goals (xG)0.84
0.13xG per shot0.12
15Shots7
7Shots on target3
47%Shots on target %43%
10Shots in box5
307Passes661
73%Pass accuracy86%
5Corners5
2Saves5
9Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

FC St. Pauli

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.88
Conceded11.6
xG1.950.76
xG against0.841.3
Shots1512
On target74
Shots faced711.1
xG per shot0.130.07
Possession32%47.6%
Passes307485.5
Pass accuracy73%79%
Corners55.7
Fouls910.7

VfB Stuttgart

32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded21.2
xG0.841.5
xG against1.951.1
Shots716.4
On target36
Shots faced1512.3
xG per shot0.120.1
Possession68%58.7%
Passes661528
Pass accuracy86%84.4%
Corners55.7
Fouls1011.1

Timeline

  • 35' Goal Manolis Saliakas league goal #1 assist Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 46' Sub Bilal El Khannouss → Jamie Leweling
  • 54' VAR Danel Sinani
  • 55' Goal Danel Sinani (pen) league goal #4
  • 57' Yellow Deniz Undav
  • 69' Sub Josha Vagnoman → Lorenz Assignon
  • 69' Sub Chris Führich → Badredine Bouanani
  • 72' Yellow Ermedin Demirović
  • 85' Sub Atakan Karazor → Chema Andrés
  • 85' Sub Ermedin Demirović → Jeremy Arevalo
  • 90' Goal Jamie Leweling league goal #5 assist Jeremy Arevalo
  • 90+1' Sub Arkadiusz Pyrka → Lars Ritzka
  • 90+1' Sub Martijn Kaars → Taichi Hara

Category leaders

  • Key passesArkadiusz Pyrka4
  • Duels wonJosha Vagnoman5/9
  • DribblesChris Führich2/3
  • Defensive actionsJames Sands8
  • ShotsDanel Sinani3 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonErmedin Demirović3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.