Premier League · Matchweek 25
Rayan 55'
HT 0:1
Morgan Rogers 22'
Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 15:00 (UK) · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Bournemouth 12th → 11th · 34 pts|Aston Villa 3rd · 47 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 2.06–0.44.

Player of the matchEmiliano Martínez7.8Decisive moment22' Morgan Rogers+0.9

Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 53% – 47%
  • Shots 20 (9 on target) – 7 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 22' Morgan Rogers, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Emiliano Martínez 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
Bournemouth ahead 0 min · level 57 min · Aston Villa ahead 33 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

22' Morgan Rogers Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jadon Sancho +0.3 +0.9
55' Rayan Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist James Hill +0.3 +0.9
Bournemouth Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BournemouthAston Villa
53%Possession47%
2.06Expected goals (xG)0.44
0.1xG per shot0.06
20Shots7
9Shots on target4
45%Shots on target %57%
12Shots in box5
413Passes382
83%Pass accuracy81%
11Corners4
3Saves7
4Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides3

Compared with usual

Bournemouth

26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded11.8
xG2.061.6
xG against0.441.5
Shots2013.9
On target95.1
Shots faced713
xG per shot0.10.12
Possession53%49.2%
Passes413407
Pass accuracy83%78.6%
Corners115.5
Fouls412.8low

Aston Villa

34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded11
xG0.441.3
xG against2.061.3
Shots712.8
On target45
Shots faced2012.3
xG per shot0.060.1
Possession47%54.8%
Passes382465.4
Pass accuracy81%85%
Corners45.3
Fouls1110

Timeline

  • 22' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #8 assist Jadon Sancho
  • 35' Yellow Álex Jiménez
  • 35' Yellow Emiliano Buendía
  • 55' Goal Rayan league goal #1 assist James Hill
  • 65' Sub Eli Junior Kroupi → Ryan Christie
  • 66' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Leon Bailey
  • 77' Sub Douglas Luiz → Ross Barkley
  • 77' Sub Jadon Sancho → Ian Maatsen
  • 86' Sub Álex Jiménez → Adam Smith
  • 86' Sub Lucas Digne → Lamare Bogarde
  • 86' Sub Ollie Watkins → Tammy Abraham
  • 87' Sub Rayan → David Brooks
  • 90' Sub Evanilson → Enes Ünal

Category leaders

  • Key passesAmine Adli4
  • Duels wonLucas Digne9/16
  • DribblesJadon Sancho2/2
  • Defensive actionsÁlex Jiménez6
  • ShotsEvanilson4 (on target 2)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.