Premier League · Matchweek 25
Sven Botman 24'
Bruno Guimarães 79' (pen)
HT 1:2
Vitaly Janelt 37'
Igor Thiago 45' (pen)
Dango Ouattara 85'
Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 17:30 (UK) · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle 12th · 33 pts|Brentford 8th → 7th · 39 pts

Newcastle edged xG (2.24–1.79) but Brentford took the win.

Player of the matchBruno Guimarães8.1Decisive moment85' Dango Ouattara+1.5

Newcastle 2-3 Brentford

Key numbers

  • Possession 54% – 46%
  • Shots 16 (4 on target) – 11 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 85' Dango Ouattara, FN xPts +1.5
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães 8.1Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-22-22-3
Newcastle ahead 13 min · level 38 min · Brentford ahead 39 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

24' Sven Botman Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Bruno Guimarães +0.2 +0.7
37' Vitaly Janelt Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Dango Ouattara +0.2 +0.6
45' Igor Thiago Pen goal +0.9
79' Bruno Guimarães Pen goal +1.0
85' Dango Ouattara Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Mathias Jensen +0.5 +1.5
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −2.6Time effect −0.9→ League points won 0
Brentford Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +3.0Opponent moments −2.0Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

NewcastleBrentford
54%Possession46%
2.24Expected goals (xG)1.79
0.14xG per shot0.16
16Shots11
4Shots on target5
25%Shots on target %45%
10Shots in box6
428Passes379
82%Pass accuracy75%
9Corners3
3Saves1
14Fouls18
2Yellow cards2
1Offsides2

Compared with usual

Newcastle

38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded31.3
xG2.241.5
xG against1.791.1
Shots1613.3
On target45.1
Shots faced1112.1
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession54%52.5%
Passes428461.4
Pass accuracy82%82.7%
Corners96.1
Fouls149.1

Brentford

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.6
Conceded21.2
xG1.791.5
xG against2.241.2
Shots1110.3
On target54.2
Shots faced1612.4
xG per shot0.160.13
Possession46%47%
Passes379399.7
Pass accuracy75%79.4%
Corners34.7
Fouls1810.6

Timeline

  • 24' Goal Sven Botman league goal #1 assist Bruno Guimarães
  • 37' Goal Vitaly Janelt league goal #1 assist Dango Ouattara
  • 44' Yellow Jacob Murphy
  • 45' Goal Igor Thiago (pen) league goal #17
  • 46' Sub Jacob Murphy → Nick Woltemade
  • 46' Sub Joe Willock → Anthony Elanga
  • 56' Sub Jordan Henderson → Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 65' Sub Yoane Wissa → William Osula
  • 69' Yellow Igor Thiago
  • 75' VAR Bruno Guimarães
  • 79' Goal Bruno Guimarães (pen) league goal #9
  • 80' Sub Keane Lewis-Potter → Romelle Donovan
  • 85' Goal Dango Ouattara league goal #5 assist Mathias Jensen
  • 87' Sub Kieran Trippier → Dan Burn
  • 87' Sub Sandro Tonali → Jacob Ramsey
  • 87' Sub Mathias Jensen → Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 90+1' Yellow Vitaly Janelt
  • 90+6' Yellow Lewis Hall

Category leaders

  • Key passesBruno Guimarães3
  • Duels wonSven Botman10/11
  • DribblesLewis Hall5/5
  • Defensive actionsKristoffer Ajer5
  • ShotsHarvey Barnes3 (on target 0)
  • Fouls wonBruno Guimarães4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.