Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Harry Kane 20' (pen)
Harry Kane 45' (pen)
Luis Díaz 45'
Luis Díaz 62'
Luis Díaz 89'
HT 3:1
Andrej Kramarić 35'
Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 16:30 (UK) · Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München · 54 pts|1899 Hoffenheim · 42 pts

Bayern München won on the scoreboard and on xG (6.02–2.04).

Player of the matchLuis Díaz10.0Decisive moment45' Harry Kane+0.4

Bayern München 5-1 1899 Hoffenheim

Key numbers

  • Possession 55% – 45%
  • Shots 27 (14 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 45' Harry Kane, FN xPts +0.4
Player of the match
Luis Díaz 10.0Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 10.0 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-13-14-15-1
Bayern München ahead 60 min · level 30 min · 1899 Hoffenheim ahead 0 min
  • 1899 Hoffenheim: Red card 17' → ~73 min a player down
  • Jamal Musiala — off the bench 27 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

17' Kevin Akpoguma Red card −0.3
20' Harry Kane Pen goal +0.2
35' Andrej Kramarić Goal · assist Fisnik Asllani +0.2
45' Harry Kane Pen goal +0.4
45' Luis Díaz Goal · assist Harry Kane +0.1
62' Luis Díaz Goal · assist Michael Olise 0.0
89' Luis Díaz Goal · assist Jamal Musiala 0.0
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +0.7Opponent moments +0.1Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
1899 Hoffenheim Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments −0.1Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Bayern München1899 Hoffenheim
55%Possession45%
6.02Expected goals (xG)2.04
0.22xG per shot0.23
27Shots9
14Shots on target4
52%Shots on target %44%
18Shots in box8
475Passes398
90%Pass accuracy81%
8Corners3
3Saves8
11Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
3Offsides0

Compared with usual

Bayern München

31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals53.4
Conceded11
xG6.022.5high
xG against2.040.86
Shots2718.1
On target148.5
Shots faced910
xG per shot0.220.14
Possession55%65.4%
Passes475685.8
Pass accuracy90%88.8%
Corners85.8
Fouls119.8

1899 Hoffenheim

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals12.2
Conceded51.1high
xG2.041.4
xG against6.021.3high
Shots912.7
On target45
Shots faced2712.7high
xG per shot0.230.11
Possession45%54%
Passes398469.5
Pass accuracy81%80%
Corners35.1
Fouls914.8

Timeline

  • 6' Yellow Alexander Prass
  • 13' Yellow Michael Olise
  • 17' Red Kevin Akpoguma
  • 20' Goal Harry Kane (pen) league goal #23
  • 35' Goal Andrej Kramarić league goal #9 assist Fisnik Asllani
  • 44' Yellow Leon Avdullahu
  • 45' Goal Harry Kane (pen) league goal #24
  • 45' Goal Luis Díaz league goal #11 assist Harry Kane
  • 57' Yellow Jonathan Tah
  • 62' Goal Luis Díaz league goal #12 assist Michael Olise
  • 63' Sub Jonathan Tah → Hiroki Itō
  • 63' Sub Serge Gnabry → Jamal Musiala
  • 63' Sub Michael Olise → Lennart Karl
  • 66' Sub Fisnik Asllani → Ihlas Bebou
  • 68' Sub Harry Kane → Nicolas Jackson
  • 71' Sub Bazoumana Touré → Valentin Gendrey
  • 71' Sub Andrej Kramarić → Muhammed Damar
  • 80' Sub Alphonso Davies → Konrad Laimer
  • 81' Sub Leon Avdullahu → Luka Djuric
  • 81' Sub Alexander Prass → Max Moerstedt
  • 89' Goal Luis Díaz league goal #13 assist Jamal Musiala

Category leaders

  • Key passesLuis Díaz6
  • Duels wonJosip Stanišić10/14
  • DribblesLuis Díaz7/10
  • Defensive actionsJoshua Kimmich6
  • ShotsHarry Kane7 (on target 6)
  • Fouls wonGrischa Prömel3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.