Premier League · Matchweek 26
2:2
João Pedro 24'
Cole Palmer 58' (pen)
HT 1:0
Lukas Nmecha 67' (pen)
Noah Okafor 73'
Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 19:30 (UK) · Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea 5th → 4th · 44 pts|Leeds 16th → 15th · 30 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 3.13–1.44.

Player of the matchCole Palmer8.6Decisive moment73' Noah Okafor+0.7

Chelsea 2-2 Leeds

Key numbers

  • Possession 66% – 34%
  • Shots 19 (4 on target) – 4 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 73' Noah Okafor, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Cole Palmer 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-02-12-2
Chelsea ahead 49 min · level 41 min · Leeds ahead 0 min
  • Noah Okafor — off the bench 35 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

24' João Pedro Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Cole Palmer +0.2 +0.5
58' Cole Palmer Pen goal +0.3
67' Lukas Nmecha Pen goal +0.1
73' Noah Okafor Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Lukas Nmecha +0.2 +0.7
Chelsea Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Leeds Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.2→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ChelseaLeeds
66%Possession34%
3.13Expected goals (xG)1.44
0.16xG per shot0.36
19Shots4
4Shots on target2
21%Shots on target %50%
14Shots in box2
644Passes336
92%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners1
0Saves2
9Fouls13
4Yellow cards4
4Offsides1

Compared with usual

Chelsea

39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22
Conceded21.2
xG3.131.8
xG against1.441.2
Shots1914.1
On target45.2
Shots faced410.8
xG per shot0.160.13
Possession66%58.6%
Passes644545.1
Pass accuracy92%87%
Corners45.7
Fouls911.5

Leeds

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.4
Conceded21.7
xG1.441.4
xG against3.131.4high
Shots413.3
On target24.4
Shots faced1911.7
xG per shot0.360.11high
Possession34%48.1%
Passes336418.8
Pass accuracy82%80%
Corners14.7
Fouls139.9

Timeline

  • 8' Yellow Malo Gusto
  • 15' Yellow Josh Acheampong
  • 19' Yellow Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 22' Yellow Sebastiaan Bornauw
  • 24' Goal João Pedro league goal #10 assist Cole Palmer
  • 45' Yellow James Justin
  • 46' Sub Marc Cucurella → Jorrel Hato
  • 55' Sub Sebastiaan Bornauw → Noah Okafor
  • 58' Goal Cole Palmer (pen) league goal #8
  • 64' Sub Estêvão → Pedro Neto
  • 67' Yellow Cole Palmer
  • 67' Goal Lukas Nmecha (pen) league goal #6
  • 73' Goal Noah Okafor league goal #4 assist Lukas Nmecha
  • 79' Sub Josh Acheampong → Wesley Fofana
  • 79' Sub Andrey Santos → Liam Delap
  • 82' Sub Lukas Nmecha → Daniel James
  • 90+5' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Sean Longstaff
  • 90+6' Yellow Sean Longstaff
  • 90+8' Yellow Moisés Caicedo

Category leaders

  • Key passesEnzo Fernández5
  • Duels wonJames Justin10/13
  • DribblesEstêvão2/3
  • Defensive actionsMoisés Caicedo5
  • ShotsJoão Pedro4 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonAndrey Santos3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.