Parma 2-1 Hellas Verona
Key numbers
- Possession 76% – 24%
- Shots 27 (8 on target) – 4 (1)
- Decisive moment: 90' Mateo Pellegrino, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Adrián Bernabé 8.4Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
1-01-12-1
Parma ahead 39 min · level 51 min · Hellas Verona ahead 0 min
- Hellas Verona: Red card 11' → ~79 min a player down
- Hans Nicolussi Caviglia — off the bench 28 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
4'
Adrián Bernabé
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Mandela Keita +0.2
+0.7
11'
Gift Orban
Red card
−0.3
43'
Abdou Harroui
Pen goal
+0.6
90'
Mateo Pellegrino
Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia +0.5
+1.7
Parma
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Hellas Verona
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
ParmaHellas Verona
1.66Expected goals (xG)0.91
Compared with usual
Parma
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.78 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.66 | 0.8 | |
| xG against | 0.91 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 27 | 11.2 | high |
| On target | 8 | 3.1 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 14.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 76% | 43.3% | high |
| Passes | 599 | 353.9 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 78.3% | high |
| Corners | 12 | 3.7 | high |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.2 | |
Hellas Verona
last 25 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.72 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.91 | 0.94 | |
| xG against | 1.66 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 4 | 11 | |
| On target | 1 | 3.9 | |
| Shots faced | 27 | 13.1 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.23 | 0.08 | high |
| Possession | 24% | 40.8% | low |
| Passes | 201 | 336.6 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 65% | 73.8% | |
| Corners | 1 | 3.9 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 16.4 | |
Timeline
- 4'
Goal
Adrián Bernabé league goal #3 assist Mandela Keita
- 11'
Red
Gift Orban
- 20'
Sub
Rafik Belghali → Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
- 41'
Yellow
Alessandro Circati
- 43'
Goal
Abdou Harroui (pen) league goal #1
- 45+2'
Yellow
Lautaro Valenti
- 46'
Sub
Lautaro Valenti → Jacob Ondrejka
- 62'
Sub
Mandela Keita → Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 62'
Sub
Kieron Bowie → Amin Sarr
- 70'
Sub
Oliver Sørensen → Gaetano Oristanio
- 79'
Sub
Cheikh Niasse → Suat Serdar
- 79'
Sub
Abdou Harroui → Tobias Slotsager
- 86'
Yellow
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
- 90'
Goal
Mateo Pellegrino league goal #7 assist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 90+4'
Sub
Gabriel Strefezza → Christian Ordoñez
Category leaders
- Key passesEmanuele Valeri4
- Duels wonJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro11/14
- DribblesJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro5/5
- Defensive actionsJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro7
- ShotsMateo Pellegrino4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonAlessandro Circati3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.