Premier League · Matchweek 31
2:2
Hugo Bueno 61'
Tom Edozie 90'
HT 0:1
Bukayo Saka 5'
Piero Hincapié 56'
Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves 20th · 10 pts|Arsenal 1st · 58 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 0.29–1.6.

Player of the matchPiero Hincapié8.8Decisive moment90' Tom Edozie+0.9

Wolves 2-2 Arsenal

Key numbers

  • Possession 42% – 58%
  • Shots 5 (2 on target) – 10 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Tom Edozie, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Piero Hincapié 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-22-2
Wolves ahead 0 min · level 5 min · Arsenal ahead 85 min
  • Tom Edozie — off the bench 15 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

5' Bukayo Saka Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Declan Rice +0.1 +0.4
56' Piero Hincapié Goal · assist Gabriel Magalhães +0.2
61' Hugo Bueno Goal · assist Santiago Bueno +0.1
90' Tom Edozie Goal +0.9
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Arsenal Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WolvesArsenal
42%Possession58%
0.29Expected goals (xG)1.6
0.06xG per shot0.16
5Shots10
2Shots on target4
40%Shots on target %40%
2Shots in box9
354Passes484
74%Pass accuracy82%
1Corners3
2Saves0
6Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
1Offsides3

Compared with usual

Wolves

31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21
Conceded21.8
xG0.291
xG against1.61.4
Shots510.5
On target23.5
Shots faced1013.4
xG per shot0.060.1
Possession42%44.9%
Passes354388.2
Pass accuracy74%79.3%
Corners13.6
Fouls613.6low

Arsenal

41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.2
Conceded20.63
xG1.61.8
xG against0.290.7
Shots1015.1
On target45.5
Shots faced58.8
xG per shot0.160.12
Possession58%57.4%
Passes484480.9
Pass accuracy82%84.7%
Corners36
Fouls810.5

Timeline

  • 5' Goal Bukayo Saka league goal #5 assist Declan Rice
  • 22' Sub Angel Gomes → Tolu Arokodare
  • 45+4' Yellow Santiago Bueno
  • 56' Goal Piero Hincapié league goal #1 assist Gabriel Magalhães
  • 57' VAR Piero Hincapié
  • 61' Goal Hugo Bueno league goal #1 assist Santiago Bueno
  • 65' Sub Viktor Gyökeres → Gabriel Jesus
  • 65' Sub Noni Madueke → Eberechi Eze
  • 70' Sub Jackson Tchatchoua → Rodrigo Gomes
  • 71' Yellow Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
  • 73' Sub Bukayo Saka → Leandro Trossard
  • 84' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Tom Edozie
  • 90' Goal Tom Edozie league goal #1
  • 90+3' Sub → Riccardo Calafiori
  • 90+9' Yellow Gabriel Jesus

Category leaders

  • Key passesPiero Hincapié3
  • Duels wonBukayo Saka13/18
  • DribblesBukayo Saka6/6
  • Defensive actionsYerson Mosquera8

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.