Premier League · Matchweek 27
Tammy Abraham 88'
HT 0:1
Anton Stach 31'
Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 15:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 3rd · 51 pts|Leeds 15th · 31 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.46–1.35.

Player of the matchEzri Konsa7.4Decisive moment88' Tammy Abraham+1.1

Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds

Key numbers

  • Possession 67% – 33%
  • Shots 16 (4 on target) – 14 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 88' Tammy Abraham, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Ezri Konsa 7.4Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.4 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
Aston Villa ahead 0 min · level 33 min · Leeds ahead 57 min
  • Tammy Abraham — off the bench 15 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

31' Anton Stach Goal +0.8
88' Tammy Abraham Goal +1.1
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −1.4→ League points won 1
Leeds Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +1.2→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaLeeds
67%Possession33%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.35
0.09xG per shot0.1
16Shots14
4Shots on target4
25%Shots on target %29%
6Shots in box9
520Passes256
85%Pass accuracy71%
7Corners2
3Saves3
11Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
4Offsides5

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

37 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded11
xG1.461.3
xG against1.351.3
Shots1612.6
On target44.8
Shots faced1412.4
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession67%54.1%
Passes520459.1
Pass accuracy85%84.7%
Corners75.3
Fouls1110.1

Leeds

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded11.7
xG1.351.4
xG against1.461.4
Shots1413.2
On target44.3
Shots faced1612.1
xG per shot0.10.11
Possession33%47.5%
Passes256416.8low
Pass accuracy71%79.9%
Corners24.8
Fouls1610.1

Timeline

  • 31' Goal Anton Stach league goal #4
  • 46' Sub Gabriel Gudmundsson → Jaka Bijol
  • 61' Sub Amadou Onana → Ross Barkley
  • 61' Sub Leon Bailey → Jadon Sancho
  • 62' Yellow Jaka Bijol
  • 69' Yellow Karl Darlow
  • 73' Yellow Emiliano Buendía
  • 73' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Lukas Nmecha
  • 75' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Tammy Abraham
  • 79' Yellow Jayden Bogle
  • 83' Sub Anton Stach → Sean Longstaff
  • 87' Sub Douglas Luiz → Lamare Bogarde
  • 87' Sub Matty Cash → Andrés García
  • 88' Goal Tammy Abraham league goal #1
  • 90+2' Yellow Ilia Gruev

Category leaders

  • Key passesDominic Calvert-Lewin3
  • Duels wonOllie Watkins8/15
  • DribblesMatty Cash2/2
  • Defensive actionsEthan Ampadu7
  • ShotsEmiliano Buendía3 (on target 0)
  • Fouls wonOllie Watkins3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.