Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
Key numbers
- Possession 67% – 33%
- Shots 12 (2 on target) – 12 (4)
- Decisive moment: 90' Zian Flemming, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Pedro Neto 7.8Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
1-01-1
Chelsea ahead 86 min · level 4 min · Burnley ahead 0 min
- Chelsea: Red card 72' → ~18 min a player down
- James Ward-Prowse — off the bench 33 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
4'
João Pedro
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Pedro Neto +0.1
+0.4
72'
Wesley Fofana
Red card
−0.2
90'
Zian Flemming
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist James Ward-Prowse +0.3
+1.0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.6Time effect +0.2→ League points won 1
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.2Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
ChelseaBurnley
1.99Expected goals (xG)0.85
Compared with usual
Chelsea
41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.99 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.85 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 2 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 10.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 67% | 59.2% | |
| Passes | 605 | 554 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87.2% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.4 | |
Burnley
30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.85 | 0.9 | |
| xG against | 1.99 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 12 | 10 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 15.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 33% | 43.6% | |
| Passes | 302 | 402.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 77.7% | |
| Corners | 5 | 3.6 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10 | |
Timeline
- 4'
Goal
João Pedro league goal #11 assist Pedro Neto
- 30'
Yellow
Hannibal Mejbri
- 34'
Yellow
Wesley Fofana
- 46'
Sub
Kyle Walker → Lucas Pires
- 57'
Sub
Lesley Ugochukwu → James Ward-Prowse
- 72'
Second yellow
Wesley Fofana
- 75'
Sub
Cole Palmer → Tosin Adarabioyo
- 78'
Sub
Josh Laurent → Jacob Bruun Larsen
- 80'
Sub
João Pedro → Liam Delap
- 80'
Sub
Malo Gusto → Jorrel Hato
- 83'
Sub
Bashir Humphreys → Loum Tchaouna
- 84'
Sub
Jaidon Anthony → Ashley Barnes
- 88'
Sub
Pedro Neto → Mamadou Sarr
- 89'
Sub
Reece James → Josh Acheampong
- 90'
Yellow
Robert Sánchez
- 90'
Goal
Zian Flemming league goal #6 assist James Ward-Prowse
- 90+4'
Yellow
Jorrel Hato
Category leaders
- Key passesPedro Neto3
- Duels wonWesley Fofana7/11
- DribblesPedro Neto4/6
- Defensive actionsBashir Humphreys5
- Fouls wonAndrey Santos3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.