Premier League · Matchweek 27
HT 0:0
Alexis Mac Allister 90'
Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 14:00 (UK) · City Ground, Nottingham
Nottingham Forest 17th · 27 pts|Liverpool 6th · 45 pts

Liverpool won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.19–1.73).

Player of the matchDominik Szoboszlai8.3Decisive moment90' Alexis Mac Allister+1.6

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool

Key numbers

  • Possession 47% – 53%
  • Shots 18 (2 on target) – 10 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Alexis Mac Allister, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Dominik Szoboszlai 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

0-1
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 90 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

90' Alexis Mac Allister Goal +1.6
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Liverpool Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Nottingham ForestLiverpool
47%Possession53%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.73
0.07xG per shot0.17
18Shots10
2Shots on target4
11%Shots on target %40%
7Shots in box8
421Passes489
83%Pass accuracy84%
7Corners2
3Saves2
13Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Nottingham Forest

37 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.3
Conceded11.4
xG1.191.5
xG against1.731.3
Shots1814.4
On target24.9
Shots faced1011.4
xG per shot0.070.1
Possession47%50.1%
Passes421447.5
Pass accuracy83%82.5%
Corners75.6
Fouls1311.6

Liverpool

38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.8
Conceded01.3
xG1.731.7
xG against1.190.99
Shots1016.3
On target45.1
Shots faced1810.6high
xG per shot0.170.1
Possession53%59.4%
Passes489544
Pass accuracy84%86.3%
Corners26.1
Fouls99.9

Timeline

  • 20' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
  • 61' Yellow Ola Aina
  • 66' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Dilane Bakwa
  • 66' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Dan Ndoye
  • 77' Sub Elliot Anderson → Nicolás Domínguez
  • 77' Sub Igor Jesus → Lorenzo Lucca
  • 77' Sub Cody Gakpo → Federico Chiesa
  • 77' Sub Mohamed Salah → Rio Ngumoha
  • 83' Sub Miloš Kerkez → Andrew Robertson
  • 83' Sub Curtis Jones → Joe Gomez
  • 90' Goal Alexis Mac Allister league goal #1
  • 90+2' VAR Alexis Mac Allister
  • 90+3' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → James McAtee

Category leaders

  • Key passesDominik Szoboszlai5
  • Duels wonIbrahim Sangaré9/18
  • DribblesHugo Ekitiké3/3
  • Defensive actionsIbrahim Sangaré6
  • Fouls wonIgor Jesus3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.