La Liga · Matchweek 25
Cédric Bakambu 16'
HT 1:1
Isi Palazón 42'
Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 15:15 (UK) · Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Real Betis 5th · 42 pts|Rayo Vallecano 17th → 14th · 26 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.86–0.88.

Player of the matchAndrei Rațiu8.3Decisive moment16' Cédric Bakambu+0.7

Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Key numbers

  • Possession 47% – 53%
  • Shots 14 (3 on target) – 12 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 16' Cédric Bakambu, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Andrei Rațiu 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-1
Real Betis ahead 26 min · level 64 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

16' Cédric Bakambu Goal +0.7
42' Isi Palazón Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Andrei Rațiu +0.2 +0.6
Real Betis Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Rayo Vallecano Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Real BetisRayo Vallecano
47%Possession53%
1.86Expected goals (xG)0.88
0.13xG per shot0.07
14Shots12
3Shots on target3
21%Shots on target %25%
9Shots in box7
411Passes465
86%Pass accuracy86%
3Corners5
2Saves2
14Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Offsides4

Compared with usual

Real Betis

last 16 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded11.6
xG1.861.4
xG against0.881.6
Shots1414.8
On target34.8
Shots faced1213.9
xG per shot0.130.09
Possession47%48.7%
Passes411454.8
Pass accuracy86%83.8%
Corners34.1
Fouls1411.1

Rayo Vallecano

last 16 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.88
Conceded11.5
xG0.881.2
xG against1.861.3
Shots1213.9
On target34.4
Shots faced1412.8
xG per shot0.070.08
Possession53%55.8%
Passes465449.3
Pass accuracy86%82.9%
Corners56.2
Fouls1313.3

Timeline

  • 16' Goal Cédric Bakambu league goal #3
  • 27' Yellow Nobel Mendy
  • 29' Yellow Pablo Fornals
  • 36' Yellow Gerard Gumbau
  • 42' Goal Isi Palazón league goal #3 assist Andrei Rațiu
  • 45+2' Yellow Diego Llorente
  • 46' Sub Cédric Bakambu → Cucho Hernández
  • 61' Sub Pablo Fornals → Rodrigo Riquelme
  • 61' Sub Gerard Gumbau → Pathé Ismaël Ciss
  • 61' Sub Fran Pérez → Álvaro García
  • 63' Yellow Alfonso Espino
  • 69' Sub Aitor Ruibal → Angel Ortiz
  • 70' Sub Ricardo Rodríguez → Valentín Gómez
  • 75' Sub Álvaro Fidalgo → Nelson Deossa
  • 77' Sub Jorge de Frutos → Josep Chavarría
  • 84' Yellow Nelson Deossa
  • 85' Yellow Valentín Gómez
  • 89' VAR Andrei Rațiu
  • 90+6' Sub Alfonso Espino → Pedro Díaz
  • 90+6' Sub Ilias Akhomach → Randy Nteka

Category leaders

  • Key passesIsi Palazón3
  • Duels wonIlias Akhomach10/14
  • DribblesAndrei Rațiu4/5
  • Defensive actionsFlorian Lejeune6
  • ShotsAbdessamad Ezzalzouli3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonIlias Akhomach6

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.