Brighton 2-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 54% – 46%
- Shots 14 (7 on target) – 13 (4)
- Decisive moment: 15' Danny Welbeck, FN xPts +0.8
Diego Gómez 6'
Danny Welbeck 15'
Danny Welbeck 15'
HT 2:1
Morgan Gibbs-White 13'
Brighton 14th → 10th · 37 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 27 pts
Brighton won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.32–0.79).
Player of the matchDiego GómezDecisive moment15' Danny Welbeck+0.8
Player of the match
Diego Gómez Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Brighton ahead 82 min · level 8 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
6'
Diego Gómez
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Pascal Groß +0.2
+0.7
13'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Igor Jesus +0.2
+0.7
15'
Danny Welbeck
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jack Hinshelwood +0.2
+0.8
Brighton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BrightonNottingham Forest
54%Possession46%
1.32Expected goals (xG)0.79
0.09xG per shot0.06
14Shots13
7Shots on target4
50%Shots on target %31%
7Shots in box7
522Passes444
87%Pass accuracy86%
4Corners4
3Saves5
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Offsides4
Compared with usual
Brighton
32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.32 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.79 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 14 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 54% | 52.8% | |
| Passes | 522 | 469.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 83.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 12.6 |
Nottingham Forest
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.79 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.32 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 13 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 46% | 50.1% | |
| Passes | 444 | 449.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.6 |
Timeline
- 6' Goal Diego Gómez league goal #5 assist Pascal Groß
- 13' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #7 assist Igor Jesus
- 15' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #10 assist Jack Hinshelwood
- 30' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 55' Yellow Mats Wieffer
- 56' Sub Neco Williams → Luca Netz
- 56' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Jair
- 71' Sub Mats Wieffer → Joël Veltman
- 74' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Dilane Bakwa
- 82' Sub Ola Aina → Dan Ndoye
- 83' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 84' Yellow Kaoru Mitoma
- 86' Sub Diego Gómez → Solly March
- 86' Sub James Milner → Carlos Baleba
- 90+1' Sub Kaoru Mitoma → Maxim De Cuyper
- 90+3' Yellow Lewis Dunk
Category leaders
- Key passesPascal Groß3
- Duels wonFerdi Kadıoğlu7/7
- DribblesCallum Hudson-Odoi3/4
- Defensive actionsJan Paul van Hecke6
- ShotsKaoru Mitoma3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonFerdi Kadıoğlu3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.