Serie A · Matchweek 27
HT 0:0
Strahinja Pavlović 90'
Rafael Leão 90'
Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 11:30 (UK) · Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Cremonese 17th · 24 pts|AC Milan 2nd · 57 pts

AC Milan won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.99–3.64).

Player of the matchStrahinja Pavlović8.3Decisive moment90' Strahinja Pavlović+1.8

Cremonese 0-2 AC Milan

Key numbers

  • Possession 47% – 53%
  • Shots 15 (3 on target) – 20 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Strahinja Pavlović, FN xPts +1.8
Player of the match
Strahinja Pavlović 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-2
Cremonese ahead 0 min · level 90 min · AC Milan ahead 0 min
  • Christopher Nkunku — off the bench 12 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

90' Strahinja Pavlović Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Koni De Winter +0.5 +1.8
90' Rafael Leão Goal · assist Christopher Nkunku +0.1
Cremonese Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
AC Milan Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.7→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

CremoneseAC Milan
47%Possession53%
0.99Expected goals (xG)3.64
0.07xG per shot0.18
15Shots20
3Shots on target6
20%Shots on target %30%
10Shots in box15
366Passes435
82%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners7
4Saves3
14Fouls10
2Yellow cards0
2Offsides3

Compared with usual

Cremonese

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals00.78
Conceded21.3
xG0.990.93
xG against3.641.5high
Shots158.7
On target33
Shots faced2016.9
xG per shot0.070.1
Possession47%45.1%
Passes366374.1
Pass accuracy82%76.6%
Corners63.2
Fouls1412.9

AC Milan

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded00.72
xG3.641.5high
xG against0.991
Shots2014
On target64.8
Shots faced1510.4
xG per shot0.180.12
Possession53%53.9%
Passes435511.2
Pass accuracy86%87.6%
Corners75
Fouls1010.2

Timeline

  • 62' Sub Youssouf Fofana → Samuele Ricci
  • 62' Sub Alexis Saelemaekers → Niclas Füllkrug
  • 66' Sub Alessio Zerbin → Tommaso Barbieri
  • 66' Sub Jamie Vardy → Milan Đurić
  • 66' Sub Matteo Bianchetti → Filippo Terracciano
  • 76' Yellow Filippo Terracciano
  • 78' Sub Christian Pulisic → Christopher Nkunku
  • 78' Sub Fikayo Tomori → Zachary Athekame
  • 82' Sub Jari Vandeputte → Alberto Grassi
  • 85' Yellow Youssef Maleh
  • 89' Sub Davide Bartesaghi → Pervis Estupiñán
  • 90' Goal Strahinja Pavlović league goal #3 assist Koni De Winter
  • 90' Goal Rafael Leão league goal #9 assist Christopher Nkunku

Category leaders

  • Key passesJari Vandeputte6
  • Duels wonAdrien Rabiot9/12
  • DribblesYoussouf Fofana3/3
  • Defensive actionsMatteo Bianchetti6
  • ShotsRafael Leão5 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonFederico Bonazzoli5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.