Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea
Key numbers
- Possession 43% – 57%
- Shots 9 (4 on target) – 15 (8)
- Decisive moment: 45' João Pedro, FN xPts +0.9
Douglas Luiz 2'
HT 1:2
João Pedro 35'
João Pedro 45'
Cole Palmer 55'
João Pedro 64'
João Pedro 45'
Cole Palmer 55'
João Pedro 64'
Aston Villa 4th · 51 pts|Chelsea 6th → 5th · 48 pts
Chelsea won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.78–3.6).
Player of the matchJoão PedroDecisive moment45' João Pedro+0.9
Player of the match
João Pedro Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 33 min · level 12 min · Chelsea ahead 45 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
2'
Douglas Luiz
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Leon Bailey +0.2
+0.7
35'
João Pedro
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Malo Gusto +0.2
+0.7
45'
João Pedro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Enzo Fernández +0.3
+0.9
55'
Cole Palmer
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist João Pedro +0.2
+0.5
64'
João Pedro
Goal · assist Alejandro Garnacho
+0.1
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaChelsea
43%Possession57%
0.78Expected goals (xG)3.6
0.09xG per shot0.24
9Shots15
4Shots on target8
44%Shots on target %53%
6Shots in box14
431Passes565
86%Pass accuracy91%
3Corners8
4Saves3
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 0.78 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 3.6 | 1.3 | high |
| Shots | 9 | 12.7 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 54.6% | |
| Passes | 431 | 461.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 84.8% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.3 |
Chelsea
43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 3.6 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.78 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14 | |
| On target | 8 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 10.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.24 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 57% | 59.3% | |
| Passes | 565 | 553.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 87.3% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.5 |
Timeline
- 2' Goal Douglas Luiz league goal #1 assist Leon Bailey
- 32' Yellow Matty Cash
- 35' Goal João Pedro league goal #12 assist Malo Gusto
- 42' VAR Ollie Watkins
- 45' Goal João Pedro league goal #13 assist Enzo Fernández
- 46' Sub Matty Cash → Lamare Bogarde
- 54' Yellow João Pedro
- 55' Goal Cole Palmer league goal #9 assist João Pedro
- 58' Yellow Morgan Rogers
- 58' Yellow Enzo Fernández
- 63' Sub Douglas Luiz → Ross Barkley
- 63' Sub Leon Bailey → Alysson
- 63' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Jadon Sancho
- 64' Goal João Pedro league goal #14 assist Alejandro Garnacho
- 68' Yellow Ollie Watkins
- 72' Sub Ollie Watkins → Tammy Abraham
- 75' Sub Malo Gusto → Roméo Lavia
- 79' Sub Wesley Fofana → Tosin Adarabioyo
- 79' Sub Enzo Fernández → Marc Cucurella
- 85' Sub Cole Palmer → Andrey Santos
- 85' Sub João Pedro → Liam Delap
Category leaders
- Key passesAlejandro Garnacho6
- Duels wonAlejandro Garnacho7/11
- DribblesLeon Bailey2/4
- Defensive actionsIan Maatsen6
- ShotsJoão Pedro5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonIan Maatsen3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.