Premier League · Matchweek 29
Antoine Semenyo 31'
Rodri 62'
HT 1:0
Morgan Gibbs-White 56'
Elliot Anderson 76'
Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 19:30 (UK) · Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City 2nd · 60 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 28 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 2.12–0.97.

Player of the matchElliot Anderson8.3Decisive moment62' Rodri+0.9

Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest

Key numbers

  • Possession 70% – 30%
  • Shots 21 (7 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 62' Rodri, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Elliot Anderson 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-12-2
Manchester City ahead 39 min · level 51 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi — off the bench 27 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

31' Antoine Semenyo Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Rayan Cherki +0.2 +0.6
56' Morgan Gibbs-White Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Igor Jesus +0.2 +0.6
62' Rodri Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Rayan Aït-Nouri +0.3 +0.9
76' Elliot Anderson Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Callum Hudson-Odoi +0.2 +0.7
Manchester City Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.2→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Manchester CityNottingham Forest
70%Possession30%
2.12Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.1xG per shot0.11
21Shots9
7Shots on target4
33%Shots on target %44%
16Shots in box6
774Passes329
92%Pass accuracy82%
6Corners1
2Saves3
10Fouls6
0Yellow cards4
1Offsides3

Compared with usual

Manchester City

43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.2
Conceded20.86
xG2.121.7
xG against0.970.97
Shots2115.1
On target75.7
Shots faced99.2
xG per shot0.10.12
Possession70%60.9%
Passes774600
Pass accuracy92%88.6%
Corners65.5
Fouls1010

Nottingham Forest

40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.3
Conceded21.4
xG0.971.4
xG against2.121.3
Shots914.4
On target44.8
Shots faced2111.4
xG per shot0.110.1
Possession30%50%
Passes329449
Pass accuracy82%82.7%
Corners15.6
Fouls611.7

Timeline

  • 31' Goal Antoine Semenyo league goal #5 assist Rayan Cherki
  • 45+1' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
  • 56' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #8 assist Igor Jesus
  • 60' Yellow Murillo
  • 62' Goal Rodri league goal #1 assist Rayan Aït-Nouri
  • 63' Yellow Nikola Milenković
  • 63' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • 76' Goal Elliot Anderson league goal #2 assist Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • 77' Sub Phil Foden → Jérémy Doku
  • 77' Sub Rayan Aït-Nouri → Abdukodir Khusanov
  • 79' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 82' Sub Rayan Cherki → Savinho
  • 90' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Ryan Yates
  • 90' Sub Neco Williams → Morato
  • 90+4' Yellow Matz Sels

Category leaders

  • Key passesBernardo Silva3
  • Duels wonElliot Anderson11/21
  • DribblesRayan Aït-Nouri4/5
  • Defensive actionsElliot Anderson7
  • ShotsAntoine Semenyo3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonNicolás Domínguez3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.