Premier League · Matchweek 29
Anthony Gordon 45' (pen)
William Osula 90'
HT 1:1
Casemiro 45'
Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 20:15 (UK) · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle 13th → 12th · 39 pts|Manchester United 3rd · 51 pts

Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.48–1.48).

Player of the matchAnthony Gordon7.7Decisive moment90' William Osula+1.6

Newcastle 2-1 Manchester United

Key numbers

  • Possession 45% – 55%
  • Shots 12 (5 on target) – 14 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 90' William Osula, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Anthony Gordon 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 90 min · Manchester United ahead 0 min
  • Newcastle: Red card 45+1' → ~45 min a player down
  • William Osula — off the bench 14 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

45' Anthony Gordon Pen goal +0.8
45' Casemiro Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.2 +0.6
45+1' Jacob Ramsey Red card −0.5
90' William Osula Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Kieran Trippier +0.5 +1.6
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Manchester United Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

NewcastleManchester United
45%Possession55%
2.48Expected goals (xG)1.48
0.21xG per shot0.11
12Shots14
5Shots on target5
42%Shots on target %36%
8Shots in box8
381Passes469
76%Pass accuracy82%
2Corners4
4Saves3
15Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
0Offsides0

Compared with usual

Newcastle

45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.8
Conceded11.4
xG2.481.6
xG against1.481.1
Shots1213.9
On target55.3
Shots faced1412
xG per shot0.210.11
Possession45%53%
Passes381462.5
Pass accuracy76%83%
Corners26.4
Fouls159.5

Manchester United

30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.8
Conceded21.4
xG1.481.7
xG against2.481.2
Shots1416.5
On target56
Shots faced1210.9
xG per shot0.110.11
Possession55%54.2%
Passes469476.9
Pass accuracy82%82.5%
Corners44.5
Fouls169.4high

Timeline

  • 26' Yellow Jacob Ramsey
  • 37' Yellow Bryan Mbeumo
  • 38' Yellow Joelinton
  • 39' Yellow Luke Shaw
  • 45' Goal Anthony Gordon (pen) league goal #4
  • 45' Goal Casemiro league goal #6 assist Bruno Fernandes
  • 45+1' Second yellow Jacob Ramsey
  • 46' Sub Harvey Barnes → Joe Willock
  • 61' Sub Casemiro → Diogo Dalot
  • 61' Sub Luke Shaw → Manuel Ugarte
  • 64' Yellow Noussair Mazraoui
  • 76' Sub Kobbie Mainoo → Amad Diallo
  • 77' Sub Bryan Mbeumo → Joshua Zirkzee
  • 80' Yellow Kieran Trippier
  • 84' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
  • 85' Sub Anthony Gordon → William Osula
  • 85' Sub Noussair Mazraoui → Tyrell Malacia
  • 90' Goal William Osula league goal #2 assist Kieran Trippier
  • 90+7' Sub Sandro Tonali → Sven Botman

Category leaders

  • Key passesBruno Fernandes8
  • Duels wonMatheus Cunha17/26
  • DribblesMatheus Cunha4/8
  • Defensive actionsKieran Trippier6
  • ShotsAnthony Gordon3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonMatheus Cunha5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.