Newcastle 2-1 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 45% – 55%
- Shots 12 (5 on target) – 14 (5)
- Decisive moment: 90' William Osula, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Anthony Gordon 7.7Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
1-01-12-1
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 90 min · Manchester United ahead 0 min
- Newcastle: Red card 45+1' → ~45 min a player down
- William Osula — off the bench 14 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Anthony Gordon
Pen goal
+0.8
45'
Casemiro
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.2
+0.6
45+1'
Jacob Ramsey
Red card
−0.5
90'
William Osula
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Kieran Trippier +0.5
+1.6
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NewcastleManchester United
2.48Expected goals (xG)1.48
Compared with usual
Newcastle
45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.48 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.48 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 13.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.21 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 45% | 53% | |
| Passes | 381 | 462.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 83% | |
| Corners | 2 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 9.5 | |
Manchester United
30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.48 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.48 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 14 | 16.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 6 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 10.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 55% | 54.2% | |
| Passes | 469 | 476.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 9.4 | high |
Timeline
- 26'
Yellow
Jacob Ramsey
- 37'
Yellow
Bryan Mbeumo
- 38'
Yellow
Joelinton
- 39'
Yellow
Luke Shaw
- 45'
Goal
Anthony Gordon (pen) league goal #4
- 45'
Goal
Casemiro league goal #6 assist Bruno Fernandes
- 45+1'
Second yellow
Jacob Ramsey
- 46'
Sub
Harvey Barnes → Joe Willock
- 61'
Sub
Casemiro → Diogo Dalot
- 61'
Sub
Luke Shaw → Manuel Ugarte
- 64'
Yellow
Noussair Mazraoui
- 76'
Sub
Kobbie Mainoo → Amad Diallo
- 77'
Sub
Bryan Mbeumo → Joshua Zirkzee
- 80'
Yellow
Kieran Trippier
- 84'
Sub
Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
- 85'
Sub
Anthony Gordon → William Osula
- 85'
Sub
Noussair Mazraoui → Tyrell Malacia
- 90'
Goal
William Osula league goal #2 assist Kieran Trippier
- 90+7'
Sub
Sandro Tonali → Sven Botman
Category leaders
- Key passesBruno Fernandes8
- Duels wonMatheus Cunha17/26
- DribblesMatheus Cunha4/8
- Defensive actionsKieran Trippier6
- ShotsAnthony Gordon3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonMatheus Cunha5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.