FA Cup · Round of 16
Sam Smith 18'
Callum Doyle 78'
HT 1:1
Arthur Okonkwo 40' (OG)
Josh Acheampong 82'
Alejandro Garnacho 96'
João Pedro 120'
Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 17:45 (UK) · Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Chelsea won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.29–2.49).

Player of the matchCallum Doyle8.6Decisive moment78' Callum Doyle+0.9

Wrexham 2-4 Chelsea

Key numbers

  • Possession 32% – 68%
  • Shots 19 (5 on target) – 21 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 78' Callum Doyle, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Callum Doyle 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-12-22-32-4
Wrexham ahead 26 min · level 70 min · Chelsea ahead 24 min
  • Wrexham: Red card 90+3' → ~30 min a player down
  • Josh Windass — off the bench 54 min · 0G 1A
  • Dário Essugo — off the bench 55 min · 0G 2A
  • João Pedro — off the bench 35 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

18' Sam Smith Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Callum Doyle +0.1 +0.4
40' Arthur Okonkwo Own goal −0.6
78' Callum Doyle Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Josh Windass +0.3 +0.9
82' Josh Acheampong Goal +0.9
90+3' George Dobson Red card −0.2
96' Alejandro Garnacho Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Dário Essugo +0.2 +0.8
120' João Pedro Goal · assist Dário Essugo 0.0

Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.

Pre-match expectation for Wrexham is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WrexhamChelsea
32%Possession68%
2.29Expected goals (xG)2.49
0.12xG per shot0.12
19Shots21
5Shots on target7
26%Shots on target %33%
12Shots in box14
456Passes1010
79%Pass accuracy91%
9Corners4
3Saves2
11Fouls6
2Yellow cards3
5Offsides1

Compared with usual

Chelsea

44 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals42
Conceded21.2
xG2.491.8
xG against2.291.2
Shots2114
On target75.2
Shots faced1910.6high
xG per shot0.120.13
Possession68%59.3%
Passes1010553.8high
Pass accuracy91%87.4%
Corners45.8
Fouls611.4

Timeline

  • 18' Goal Sam Smith assist Callum Doyle
  • 23' Yellow Roméo Lavia
  • 40' Goal Arthur Okonkwo (OG)
  • 58' Sub Mamadou Sarr → Marc Guiu
  • 65' Sub Jorrel Hato → Marc Cucurella
  • 65' Sub Roméo Lavia → Dário Essugo
  • 66' Sub Oliver Rathbone → Josh Windass
  • 66' Sub Sam Smith → Kieffer Moore
  • 76' Sub Zak Vyner → Nathan Broadhead
  • 78' Goal Callum Doyle assist Josh Windass
  • 82' Goal Josh Acheampong competition goal #1
  • 85' Sub Liam Delap → João Pedro
  • 85' Sub Josh Acheampong → Malo Gusto
  • 90' Sub Ryan Longman → Ryan Barnett
  • 90+1' VAR George Dobson
  • 90+3' Red George Dobson
  • 96' Goal Alejandro Garnacho competition goal #1 assist Dário Essugo
  • 100' Sub Pedro Neto → Jesse Derry
  • 101' Yellow George Thomason
  • 106' Sub Callum Doyle → Lewis Brunt
  • 110' Yellow Andrey Santos
  • 112' Sub Max Cleworth → Davis Keillor-Dunn
  • 116' VAR Lewis Brunt
  • 120' Yellow Kieffer Moore
  • 120' Yellow Alejandro Garnacho
  • 120' Goal João Pedro competition goal #1 assist Dário Essugo

Category leaders

  • Key passesPedro Neto6
  • Duels wonLewis O'Brien13/19
  • DribblesPedro Neto5/10
  • Defensive actionsLewis O'Brien10
  • ShotsAlejandro Garnacho7 (on target 4)
  • Fouls wonLewis O'Brien4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.