La Liga · Matchweek 27
Javier Guerra 47'
Eray Cömert 90'
Hugo Duro 90' (pen)
HT 0:1
Lucas Boyé 3' (pen)
Lucas Boyé 71'
Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 15th → 12th · 32 pts|Alaves 16th · 27 pts

Valencia won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.79–1.33).

Player of the matchEray Cömert8.1Decisive moment90' Hugo Duro+1.6

Valencia 3-2 Alaves

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 19 (8 on target) – 10 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Hugo Duro, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Eray Cömert 8.1Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-11-22-23-2
Valencia ahead 0 min · level 27 min · Alaves ahead 63 min
  • Hugo Duro — off the bench 16 min · 1G 0A
  • Denis Suárez — off the bench 22 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

3' Lucas Boyé Pen goal +0.8
47' Javier Guerra Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Umar Sadiq +0.3 +0.9
71' Lucas Boyé Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Denis Suárez +0.4 +1.3
90' Eray Cömert Goal +1.0
90' Hugo Duro Pen goal +1.6
90+6' Ander Guevara Red card 0.0
90+7' Jon Pacheco Red card 0.0
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +3.5Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Alaves Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −3.5Time effect +0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaAlaves
61%Possession39%
2.79Expected goals (xG)1.33
0.15xG per shot0.13
19Shots10
8Shots on target4
42%Shots on target %40%
13Shots in box7
550Passes362
89%Pass accuracy80%
10Corners2
3Saves5
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards6
4Offsides1

Compared with usual

Valencia

last 20 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.2
Conceded21.3
xG2.791.4
xG against1.331.2
Shots1912.1
On target83.3
Shots faced1011
xG per shot0.150.12
Possession61%51%
Passes550448.9
Pass accuracy89%82%
Corners104.9
Fouls912.2

Alaves

last 20 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded31.4
xG1.331.1
xG against2.791.3high
Shots1011.9
On target44.5
Shots faced1913.5
xG per shot0.130.1
Possession39%51.1%
Passes362428.7
Pass accuracy80%80.2%
Corners24.5
Fouls1715.3

Timeline

  • 3' Goal Lucas Boyé (pen) league goal #8
  • 17' Yellow Largie Ramazani
  • 30' Sub Carlos Benavídez → Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
  • 36' Yellow Jon Guridi
  • 43' Yellow Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
  • 47' Goal Javier Guerra league goal #1 assist Umar Sadiq
  • 58' Yellow Jon Pacheco
  • 68' Sub Jon Guridi → Denis Suárez
  • 68' Sub Carles Aleñá → Ander Guevara
  • 70' Sub Luis Rioja → Arnaut Danjuma
  • 71' Goal Lucas Boyé league goal #9 assist Denis Suárez
  • 74' Sub Filip Ugrinić → Hugo Duro
  • 82' Sub Thierry Correia → Dani Raba
  • 82' Sub Largie Ramazani → Diego López
  • 82' Sub Javier Guerra → André Almeida
  • 84' Sub Toni Martínez → Mariano Díaz
  • 90' Goal Eray Cömert league goal #2
  • 90' Goal Hugo Duro (pen) league goal #8
  • 90+2' Yellow Ander Guevara
  • 90+6' Second yellow Ander Guevara
  • 90+7' Second yellow Jon Pacheco

Category leaders

  • Key passesJosé Luis Gayà3
  • Duels wonUmar Sadiq8/21
  • DribblesUmar Sadiq6/8
  • Defensive actionsNahuel Tenaglia7
  • ShotsLucas Boyé4 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonThierry Correia3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.