Premier League · Matchweek 30
Casemiro 53'
Matheus Cunha 71'
Benjamin Šeško 81'
HT 0:0
Ross Barkley 64'
Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 14:00 (UK) · Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United 3rd · 54 pts|Aston Villa 4th · 51 pts

Manchester United won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.07–1.02).

Player of the matchBruno Fernandes8.7Decisive moment71' Matheus Cunha+1.2

Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 53% – 47%
  • Shots 16 (6 on target) – 9 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 71' Matheus Cunha, FN xPts +1.2
Player of the match
Bruno Fernandes 8.7Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-13-1
Manchester United ahead 30 min · level 60 min · Aston Villa ahead 0 min
  • Benjamin Šeško — off the bench 15 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

53' Casemiro Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.3 +1.0
64' Ross Barkley Goal +0.8
71' Matheus Cunha Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.4 +1.2
81' Benjamin Šeško Goal +0.3
Manchester United Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −1.1Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Manchester UnitedAston Villa
53%Possession47%
1.07Expected goals (xG)1.02
0.07xG per shot0.11
16Shots9
6Shots on target2
38%Shots on target %22%
11Shots in box6
479Passes426
85%Pass accuracy85%
6Corners6
1Saves3
10Fouls5
3Yellow cards2
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Manchester United

31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.7
Conceded11.4
xG1.071.7
xG against1.021.2
Shots1616.4
On target65.9
Shots faced910.9
xG per shot0.070.11
Possession53%54.2%
Passes479476.6
Pass accuracy85%82.5%
Corners64.5
Fouls109.6

Aston Villa

41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded31.1
xG1.021.2
xG against1.071.3
Shots912.5
On target24.6
Shots faced1612.3
xG per shot0.110.1
Possession47%54.2%
Passes426461
Pass accuracy85%84.9%
Corners65.2
Fouls510.3

Timeline

  • 41' Yellow Ollie Watkins
  • 53' Goal Casemiro league goal #7 assist Bruno Fernandes
  • 60' Yellow Casemiro
  • 60' Sub Ollie Watkins → Tammy Abraham
  • 61' Sub John McGinn → Leon Bailey
  • 64' Goal Ross Barkley league goal #2
  • 69' Yellow Emiliano Buendía
  • 71' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #7 assist Bruno Fernandes
  • 72' Yellow Leny Yoro
  • 75' Sub Bryan Mbeumo → Benjamin Šeško
  • 81' Goal Benjamin Šeško league goal #9
  • 82' Sub Ross Barkley → Douglas Luiz
  • 82' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
  • 86' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Andrés García
  • 90+1' Sub Casemiro → Manuel Ugarte
  • 90+6' Yellow Harry Maguire

Category leaders

  • Key passesBruno Fernandes6
  • Duels wonMorgan Rogers8/12
  • DribblesKobbie Mainoo2/4
  • Defensive actionsLeny Yoro6
  • Fouls wonMorgan Rogers3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.