Premier League · Matchweek 30
Michael Kayode 22'
Igor Thiago 37'
HT 2:1
Adam Armstrong 44'
Tolu Arokodare 77'
Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Brentford Community Stadium, London
Brentford 7th · 45 pts|Wolves 20th · 17 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 2.56–1.33.

Player of the matchMichael Kayode7.8Decisive moment77' Tolu Arokodare+0.8

Brentford 2-2 Wolves

Key numbers

  • Possession 50% – 50%
  • Shots 10 (3 on target) – 13 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 77' Tolu Arokodare, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Michael Kayode 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

1-02-02-12-2
Brentford ahead 55 min · level 35 min · Wolves ahead 0 min
  • Tolu Arokodare — off the bench 16 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

22' Michael Kayode Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Keane Lewis-Potter +0.2 +0.6
37' Igor Thiago Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Dango Ouattara +0.1 +0.3
44' Adam Armstrong Goal · assist Jean-Ricner Bellegarde +0.2
77' Tolu Arokodare Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist João Gomes +0.2 +0.8
Brentford Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrentfordWolves
50%Possession50%
2.56Expected goals (xG)1.33
0.26xG per shot0.1
10Shots13
3Shots on target4
30%Shots on target %31%
9Shots in box9
438Passes428
77%Pass accuracy81%
1Corners5
2Saves1
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards4
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Brentford

36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded21.3
xG2.561.6
xG against1.331.2
Shots1010.8
On target34.1
Shots faced1312.3
xG per shot0.260.13high
Possession50%48.2%
Passes438406.7
Pass accuracy77%79.2%
Corners14.9
Fouls1210.9

Wolves

36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded21.7
xG1.330.99
xG against2.561.4
Shots1310
On target43.5
Shots faced1013.6
xG per shot0.10.1
Possession50%43.8%
Passes428378
Pass accuracy81%79.1%
Corners53.3
Fouls1013.3

Timeline

  • 22' Goal Michael Kayode league goal #1 assist Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 24' Yellow Adam Armstrong
  • 37' Goal Igor Thiago league goal #19 assist Dango Ouattara
  • 44' Goal Adam Armstrong league goal #1 assist Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
  • 45+1' Yellow Ladislav Krejčí
  • 46' Sub Mateus Mané → Angel Gomes
  • 57' Yellow Nathan Collins
  • 68' Sub Kevin Schade → Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 72' Sub Mikkel Damsgaard → Kristoffer Ajer
  • 74' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Tolu Arokodare
  • 77' Yellow Kristoffer Ajer
  • 77' Goal Tolu Arokodare league goal #3 assist João Gomes
  • 85' Sub Dango Ouattara → Reiss Nelson
  • 87' Sub Adam Armstrong → Rodrigo Gomes
  • 89' Yellow Angel Gomes
  • 90+3' Yellow José Sá

Category leaders

  • Key passesDango Ouattara4
  • Duels wonMichael Kayode8/14
  • DribblesJoão Gomes2/3
  • Defensive actionsMathias Jensen5
  • ShotsIgor Thiago3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonMichael Kayode3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.