FC Midtjylland 1-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 12 (3 on target) – 20 (8)
- Decisive moment: 40' Nicolás Domínguez, FN xPts +0.7
Martin Erlić 69'
HT 0:1 · PK 0:3
Nicolás Domínguez 40'
Ryan Yates 52'
Ryan Yates 52'
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.7–2.07).
Player of the matchMartin ErlićDecisive moment40' Nicolás Domínguez+0.7
Player of the match
Martin Erlić Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
FC Midtjylland ahead 0 min · level 40 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 80 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
40'
Nicolás Domínguez
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Nikola Milenković +0.2
+0.7
52'
Ryan Yates
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist James McAtee +0.1
+0.4
69'
Martin Erlić
Goal
+0.3
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for FC Midtjylland is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
FC MidtjyllandNottingham Forest
52%Possession48%
0.7Expected goals (xG)2.07
0.06xG per shot0.1
12Shots20
3Shots on target8
25%Shots on target %40%
7Shots in box13
496Passes468
75%Pass accuracy75%
4Corners11
7Saves2
22Fouls16
4Yellow cards2
1Offsides5
Compared with usual
FC Midtjylland
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.89 | |
| xG | 0.7 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 2.07 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 12 | 11.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 14.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 52% | 50.6% | |
| Passes | 496 | 376.4 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 77.4% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 22 | 16 | high |
Nottingham Forest
43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.07 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.7 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 20 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 8 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 48% | 49.7% | |
| Passes | 468 | 446.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 11 | 5.5 | high |
| Fouls | 16 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 40' Goal Nicolás Domínguez competition goal #1 assist Nikola Milenković
- 46' Sub Valdemar Byskov → Han-Beom Lee
- 46' Sub Philip Billing → Aral Şimşir
- 51' Yellow Júnior Brumado
- 52' Goal Ryan Yates competition goal #2 assist James McAtee
- 56' Sub Júnior Brumado → Gue-sung Cho
- 61' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Morgan Gibbs-White
- 61' Sub Dan Ndoye → Neco Williams
- 61' Sub Nikola Milenković → Murillo
- 69' Goal Martin Erlić
- 71' Yellow Darío Osorio
- 75' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Ola Aina
- 75' Sub James McAtee → Elliot Anderson
- 88' Yellow Pedro Bravo
- 91' Sub Ousmane Diao → Adam Gabriel
- 91' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 94' Yellow Murillo
- 102' Yellow Martin Erlić
- 103' Sub Darío Osorio → Edward Chilufya
- 114' Yellow Elliot Anderson
Category leaders
- Key passesOmari Hutchinson3
- Duels wonDenil Castillo15/23
- DribblesDarío Osorio3/4
- Defensive actionsMartin Erlić8
- ShotsRyan Yates4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonDenil Castillo5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.