Premier League · Matchweek 31
Danny Welbeck 14'
Danny Welbeck 56'
HT 1:1
Miloš Kerkez 30'
Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 12:30 (UK) · Amex Stadium, Brighton
Brighton 12th → 8th · 43 pts|Liverpool 5th · 49 pts

Brighton won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.17–1.03).

Player of the matchDanny Welbeck8.3Decisive moment56' Danny Welbeck+1.0

Brighton 2-1 Liverpool

Key numbers

  • Possession 47% – 53%
  • Shots 16 (7 on target) – 12 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 56' Danny Welbeck, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Danny Welbeck 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Brighton ahead 50 min · level 40 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

14' Danny Welbeck Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Diego Gómez +0.2 +0.7
30' Miloš Kerkez Goal +0.8
56' Danny Welbeck Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Jack Hinshelwood +0.3 +1.0
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3
Liverpool Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.9→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrightonLiverpool
47%Possession53%
2.17Expected goals (xG)1.03
0.14xG per shot0.09
16Shots12
7Shots on target5
44%Shots on target %42%
11Shots in box10
380Passes431
78%Pass accuracy80%
4Corners8
4Saves4
11Fouls11
5Yellow cards5
2Offsides1

Compared with usual

Brighton

35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded11.2
xG2.171.3
xG against1.031.2
Shots1613.3
On target74.7
Shots faced1212.5
xG per shot0.140.1
Possession47%53%
Passes380470.8
Pass accuracy78%83.8%
Corners44.7
Fouls1112.6

Liverpool

45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded21.2
xG1.031.8
xG against2.170.99
Shots1216.7
On target55.5
Shots faced1610.5
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession53%59.4%
Passes431540.3
Pass accuracy80%86%
Corners86.2
Fouls1110.2

Timeline

  • 8' Sub Hugo Ekitiké → Curtis Jones
  • 14' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #11 assist Diego Gómez
  • 25' Yellow Yankuba Minteh
  • 30' Goal Miloš Kerkez league goal #2
  • 45' Yellow Ibrahima Konaté
  • 45+5' Yellow Diego Gómez
  • 48' Yellow Danny Welbeck
  • 56' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #12 assist Jack Hinshelwood
  • 61' Yellow Jeremie Frimpong
  • 63' Sub Jeremie Frimpong → Rio Ngumoha
  • 68' Yellow Alexis Mac Allister
  • 76' Sub Yankuba Minteh → Kaoru Mitoma
  • 76' Sub James Milner → Carlos Baleba
  • 76' Sub Miloš Kerkez → Andrew Robertson
  • 77' Sub Ibrahima Konaté → Federico Chiesa
  • 79' Yellow Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 83' Sub Jack Hinshelwood → Yasin Ayari
  • 83' Sub Danny Welbeck → Georginio Rutter
  • 85' Yellow Lewis Dunk
  • 90' Yellow Federico Chiesa
  • 90+1' Sub Diego Gómez → Joël Veltman
  • 90+4' Yellow Mats Wieffer

Category leaders

  • Key passesYankuba Minteh3
  • Duels wonDiego Gómez6/12
  • DribblesRio Ngumoha3/5
  • Defensive actionsDiego Gómez5
  • ShotsDiego Gómez3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonDominik Szoboszlai3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.