Real Madrid 3-2 Atletico Madrid
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 17 (10 on target) – 13 (7)
- Decisive moment: 72' Vinicius Júnior, FN xPts +1.3
Player of the match
Vinicius Júnior 8.5Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
0-11-12-12-23-2
Real Madrid ahead 29 min · level 42 min · Atletico Madrid ahead 19 min
- Real Madrid: Red card 77' → ~13 min a player down
- Trent Alexander-Arnold — off the bench 26 min · 0G 1A
- Nahuel Molina — off the bench 33 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
33'
Ademola Lookman
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Giuliano Simeone +0.3
+0.9
52'
Vinicius Júnior
Pen goal
+0.9
55'
Federico Valverde
Goal
+1.1
66'
Nahuel Molina
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Julián Alvarez +0.2
+0.8
72'
Vinicius Júnior
Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Trent Alexander-Arnold +0.4
+1.3
77'
Federico Valverde
Red card
−0.1
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +3.2Opponent moments −2.1Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Atletico Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −2.7Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
42 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | |
| xG | 2.41 | 2.1 | |
| xG against | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 17 | 18.2 | |
| On target | 10 | 6.8 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 52% | 59% | |
| Passes | 559 | 576.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 88.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.5 | |
| Fouls | 2 | 10.2 | low |
Atletico Madrid
45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 2.41 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 11.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 53.4% | |
| Passes | 505 | 513.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 85.2% | |
| Corners | 1 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.9 | |
Timeline
- 27'
Yellow
Johnny Cardoso
- 33'
Goal
Ademola Lookman league goal #2 assist Giuliano Simeone
- 36'
Yellow
Matteo Ruggeri
- 46'
Sub
Robin Le Normand → José María Giménez
- 52'
Goal
Vinicius Júnior (pen) league goal #10
- 55'
Goal
Federico Valverde league goal #4
- 57'
Sub
Antoine Griezmann → Alexander Sørloth
- 57'
Sub
Johnny Cardoso → Nicolás González
- 57'
Sub
Ademola Lookman → Nahuel Molina
- 61'
Yellow
Dávid Hancko
- 63'
Yellow
Thiago Pitarch
- 64'
Sub
Thiago Pitarch → Kylian Mbappé
- 64'
Sub
Daniel Carvajal → Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 66'
Goal
Nahuel Molina league goal #2 assist Julián Alvarez
- 68'
Yellow
Marcos Llorente
- 71'
Sub
Giuliano Simeone → Alejandro Baena
- 72'
Goal
Vinicius Júnior league goal #11 assist Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 74'
Sub
Brahim Díaz → Eduardo Camavinga
- 74'
Sub
Arda Güler → Jude Bellingham
- 77'
Red
Federico Valverde
- 87'
Sub
Vinicius Júnior → Álvaro Carreras
Category leaders
- Key passesMatteo Ruggeri3
- Duels wonMarcos Llorente6/9
- DribblesFederico Valverde3/4
- Defensive actionsJulián Alvarez6
- ShotsVinicius Júnior5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonFran García3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.