La Liga · Matchweek 30
Guido Rodríguez 12'
Guido Rodríguez 90'
HT 1:0
Ilaix Moriba 56'
Fer López 60'
Williot Swedberg 81'
Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 15:15 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 13th · 35 pts|Celta Vigo 6th · 44 pts

Celta Vigo won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.8–1.05).

Player of the matchIlaix Moriba8.8Decisive moment60' Fer López+1.1

Valencia 2-3 Celta Vigo

Key numbers

  • Possession 42% – 58%
  • Shots 13 (4 on target) – 9 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 60' Fer López, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Ilaix Moriba 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-21-32-3
Valencia ahead 44 min · level 16 min · Celta Vigo ahead 30 min
  • Umar Sadiq — off the bench 27 min · 0G 1A
  • Fer López — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
  • Williot Swedberg — off the bench 45 min · 1G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

12' Guido Rodríguez Goal +0.8
56' Ilaix Moriba Goal +0.8
60' Fer López Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Williot Swedberg +0.3 +1.1
81' Williot Swedberg Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Ilaix Moriba +0.1 +0.3
90' Guido Rodríguez Goal · assist Umar Sadiq +0.1
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −2.2Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Celta Vigo Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo
42%Possession58%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.05
0.06xG per shot0.12
13Shots9
4Shots on target5
31%Shots on target %56%
7Shots in box6
345Passes500
81%Pass accuracy87%
6Corners0
2Saves2
14Fouls21
1Yellow cards3
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Valencia

last 23 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.3
Conceded31.3
xG0.81.4
xG against1.051.2
Shots1312.3
On target43.4
Shots faced911
xG per shot0.060.12
Possession42%51.3%
Passes345451.6
Pass accuracy81%82.2%
Corners65.1
Fouls1411.7

Celta Vigo

last 30 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.6
Conceded21.1
xG1.051.3
xG against0.81.1
Shots910.7
On target54.4
Shots faced1311.4
xG per shot0.120.14
Possession58%49.6%
Passes500493.8
Pass accuracy87%85.1%
Corners03.8
Fouls2112.4

Timeline

  • 12' Goal Guido Rodríguez league goal #1
  • 43' Yellow Javi Rodríguez
  • 44' Yellow Marcos Alonso
  • 46' Sub Hugo Álvarez → Williot Swedberg
  • 46' Sub Javi Rodríguez → Jones El-Abdellaoui
  • 46' Sub Pablo Durán → Fer López
  • 56' Goal Ilaix Moriba league goal #1
  • 60' Goal Fer López league goal #1 assist Williot Swedberg
  • 63' Sub Hugo Duro → Umar Sadiq
  • 63' Sub André Almeida → Thierry Correia
  • 63' Sub Unai Núñez → Filip Ugrinić
  • 63' Sub Javier Guerra → Lucas Beltrán
  • 71' Yellow Hugo Sotelo
  • 71' Sub Ferran Jutglà → Borja Iglesias
  • 78' Sub José Luis Gayà → Arnaut Danjuma
  • 81' Goal Williot Swedberg league goal #4 assist Ilaix Moriba
  • 84' Yellow Guido Rodríguez
  • 88' Sub Óscar Mingueza → Yoel Lago
  • 90' Goal Guido Rodríguez league goal #2 assist Umar Sadiq

Category leaders

  • Key passesIlaix Moriba2
  • Duels wonGuido Rodríguez9/14
  • DribblesLuis Rioja2/2
  • Defensive actionsEray Cömert5
  • ShotsEray Cömert3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonCésar Tárrega3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.